Trader sentiment on Seattle's March 27 high temperature hinges on the latest National Weather Service forecast, projecting a peak near 56°F amid a mild southerly flow from an offshore high-pressure ridge, closely splitting odds between 54-55°F (28.5%) and 56-57°F (28.5%). Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show means around 55.5°F, but diverge on morning cloud cover from the marine layer, potentially capping highs at 54°F or allowing brief clearing for 57°F. Historical March averages (52-55°F) and recent soundings indicating neutral lapse rates further temper extremes, with lower probabilities for 52°F or below reflecting minimal cold air intrusion risks. Traders eye afternoon satellite updates for resolution clarity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月27日西雅图的最高温度?
3月27日西雅图的最高温度?
56-57°F 33%
54-55°F 28%
52-53°F 24%
58-59°F 14%
45°F或以下
1%
46-47°F
2%
48-49°F
4%
50-51°F
5%
52-53°F
19%
54-55°F
28%
56-57°F
33%
58-59°F
14%
60-61°F
5%
62-63华氏度
5%
64°F或更高
2%
56-57°F 33%
54-55°F 28%
52-53°F 24%
58-59°F 14%
45°F或以下
1%
46-47°F
2%
48-49°F
4%
50-51°F
5%
52-53°F
19%
54-55°F
28%
56-57°F
33%
58-59°F
14%
60-61°F
5%
62-63华氏度
5%
64°F或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Seattle's March 27 high temperature hinges on the latest National Weather Service forecast, projecting a peak near 56°F amid a mild southerly flow from an offshore high-pressure ridge, closely splitting odds between 54-55°F (28.5%) and 56-57°F (28.5%). Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show means around 55.5°F, but diverge on morning cloud cover from the marine layer, potentially capping highs at 54°F or allowing brief clearing for 57°F. Historical March averages (52-55°F) and recent soundings indicating neutral lapse rates further temper extremes, with lower probabilities for 52°F or below reflecting minimal cold air intrusion risks. Traders eye afternoon satellite updates for resolution clarity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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