Jinan’s late-summer climatology and official meteorological guidance underpin the 99.4% market-implied probability that the August 22 high will reach 26 °C or above. August averages place daytime maxima near 30–32 °C, with 2026 model runs and extended forecasts projecting 32–35 °C under typical subtropical high pressure and light winds. These conditions align with verified historical records showing frequent exceedances of 30 °C through mid-to-late August. Only an abrupt, unforecast cold surge or persistent heavy rainfall could keep the maximum at or below 25 °C; current ensemble guidance shows low likelihood of such a shift before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月22日济南气温最高？
8月22日济南气温最高？
26°C or higher 99.4%
22°C <1%
25°C <1%
21°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
99%
26°C or higher 99.4%
22°C <1%
25°C <1%
21°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
16°C or below
$295 交易量
<1%
17°C
$295 交易量
<1%
18°C
$295 交易量
<1%
19°C
$295 交易量
<1%
20°C
$295 交易量
<1%
21°C
$205 交易量
<1%
22°C
$205 交易量
1%
23°C
$205 交易量
<1%
24°C
$255 交易量
<1%
25°C
$25 交易量
1%
26°C or higher
$317 交易量
99%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Jinan’s late-summer climatology and official meteorological guidance underpin the 99.4% market-implied probability that the August 22 high will reach 26 °C or above. August averages place daytime maxima near 30–32 °C, with 2026 model runs and extended forecasts projecting 32–35 °C under typical subtropical high pressure and light winds. These conditions align with verified historical records showing frequent exceedances of 30 °C through mid-to-late August. Only an abrupt, unforecast cold surge or persistent heavy rainfall could keep the maximum at or below 25 °C; current ensemble guidance shows low likelihood of such a shift before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 21, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$2,687结束日期
2026-08-22市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Jinan’s late-summer climatology and official meteorological guidance underpin the 99.4% market-implied probability that the August 22 high will reach 26 °C or above. August averages place daytime maxima near 30–32 °C, with 2026 model runs and extended forecasts projecting 32–35 °C under typical subtropical high pressure and light winds. These conditions align with verified historical records showing frequent exceedances of 30 °C through mid-to-late August. Only an abrupt, unforecast cold surge or persistent heavy rainfall could keep the maximum at or below 25 °C; current ensemble guidance shows low likelihood of such a shift before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,687结束日期
2026-08-22市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 12:55 AM ETJinan’s late-summer climatology and official meteorological guidance underpin the 99.4% market-implied probability that the August 22 high will reach 26 °C or above. August averages place daytime maxima near 30–32 °C, with 2026 model runs and extended forecasts projecting 32–35 °C under typical subtropical high pressure and light winds. These conditions align with verified historical records showing frequent exceedances of 30 °C through mid-to-late August. Only an abrupt, unforecast cold surge or persistent heavy rainfall could keep the maximum at or below 25 °C; current ensemble guidance shows low likelihood of such a shift before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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