Consistent forecasts from agencies and models place Jinan’s August 21 high near 33 °C (low 90s °F), well above the 26 °C threshold and aligned with typical mid-August climatology for the region. Persistent summer warmth, high humidity, and limited cloud cover support afternoon peaks in this range, with official guidance showing minimal day-to-day variability. Traders assign 99.9 % implied probability to 26 °C or higher because observed trends and ensemble outputs leave little room for a sharp drop. Only an unanticipated strong frontal passage or widespread measurement revision could push the official maximum below 26 °C, an outcome historical data and current steering patterns render highly improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月21日济南气温最高？
8月21日济南气温最高？
26°C or higher 99.8%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 99.8%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
16°C or below
$200 交易量
<1%
17°C
$205 交易量
<1%
18°C
$205 交易量
<1%
19°C
$1,430 交易量
<1%
20°C
$205 交易量
<1%
21°C
$205 交易量
<1%
22°C
$1,322 交易量
<1%
23°C
$1,480 交易量
<1%
24°C
$120 交易量
<1%
25°C
$120 交易量
<1%
26°C or higher
$676 交易量
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Consistent forecasts from agencies and models place Jinan’s August 21 high near 33 °C (low 90s °F), well above the 26 °C threshold and aligned with typical mid-August climatology for the region. Persistent summer warmth, high humidity, and limited cloud cover support afternoon peaks in this range, with official guidance showing minimal day-to-day variability. Traders assign 99.9 % implied probability to 26 °C or higher because observed trends and ensemble outputs leave little room for a sharp drop. Only an unanticipated strong frontal passage or widespread measurement revision could push the official maximum below 26 °C, an outcome historical data and current steering patterns render highly improbable.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$6,168结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Consistent forecasts from agencies and models place Jinan’s August 21 high near 33 °C (low 90s °F), well above the 26 °C threshold and aligned with typical mid-August climatology for the region. Persistent summer warmth, high humidity, and limited cloud cover support afternoon peaks in this range, with official guidance showing minimal day-to-day variability. Traders assign 99.9 % implied probability to 26 °C or higher because observed trends and ensemble outputs leave little room for a sharp drop. Only an unanticipated strong frontal passage or widespread measurement revision could push the official maximum below 26 °C, an outcome historical data and current steering patterns render highly improbable.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,168结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ETConsistent forecasts from agencies and models place Jinan’s August 21 high near 33 °C (low 90s °F), well above the 26 °C threshold and aligned with typical mid-August climatology for the region. Persistent summer warmth, high humidity, and limited cloud cover support afternoon peaks in this range, with official guidance showing minimal day-to-day variability. Traders assign 99.9 % implied probability to 26 °C or higher because observed trends and ensemble outputs leave little room for a sharp drop. Only an unanticipated strong frontal passage or widespread measurement revision could push the official maximum below 26 °C, an outcome historical data and current steering patterns render highly improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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