Trader consensus leans toward 11°C (30.5% implied odds) as London's highest temperature on March 28, propelled by the latest Met Office forecast showing a peak near 11°C amid a dominant high-pressure ridge fostering settled, mild spring conditions. Closely trailing 10°C (22%) and 12°C (23%) reflect model ensemble spreads from ECMWF and UKMO, where persistent stratocumulus cloud could suppress daytime heating to 10°C, while afternoon breaks enabling solar insolation might boost it to 12°C. Recent overnight runs refined this tight range, aligning with March climatology averaging 11.5°C highs, though southerly winds add marginal warmth upside; traders watch for 12Z updates on boundary timing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月28日伦敦气温最高?
3月28日伦敦气温最高?
11°C 31%
12°C 23%
10°C 22%
9°C 14%
6°C或以下
2%
7°C
4%
8°C
6%
9°C
14%
10°C
22%
11°C
31%
12°C
23%
13°C
9%
14°C
4%
15°C
3%
16°C或更高
2%
11°C 31%
12°C 23%
10°C 22%
9°C 14%
6°C或以下
2%
7°C
4%
8°C
6%
9°C
14%
10°C
22%
11°C
31%
12°C
23%
13°C
9%
14°C
4%
15°C
3%
16°C或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 24, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus leans toward 11°C (30.5% implied odds) as London's highest temperature on March 28, propelled by the latest Met Office forecast showing a peak near 11°C amid a dominant high-pressure ridge fostering settled, mild spring conditions. Closely trailing 10°C (22%) and 12°C (23%) reflect model ensemble spreads from ECMWF and UKMO, where persistent stratocumulus cloud could suppress daytime heating to 10°C, while afternoon breaks enabling solar insolation might boost it to 12°C. Recent overnight runs refined this tight range, aligning with March climatology averaging 11.5°C highs, though southerly winds add marginal warmth upside; traders watch for 12Z updates on boundary timing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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