Trader sentiment for Lucknow's highest temperature on March 28 clusters tightly around 33–35°C, driven by the latest India Meteorological Department (IMD) ensemble forecasts projecting a mean maximum of 34°C amid partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. These conditions—low humidity below 40% and minimal cloud cover—support diurnal highs in this narrow band, with historical late-March averages at 33.5°C providing baseline context. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences: GFS leans toward 35°C due to stronger solar insolation, while ECMWF favors 33°C with slight haze uncertainty; urban heat island effects in Lucknow could nudge outcomes higher by 0.5–1°C, explaining the 29.5% edge for 33°C over 34°C's 27.5%. Upcoming hourly updates may shift odds further.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 28?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 28?
34°C 28%
33°C 27%
35°C 20%
32°C or below 12%
32°C or below
12%
33°C
27%
34°C
28%
35°C
21%
36°C
15%
37°C
8%
38°C
7%
39°C
5%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
1%
34°C 28%
33°C 27%
35°C 20%
32°C or below 12%
32°C or below
12%
33°C
27%
34°C
28%
35°C
21%
36°C
15%
37°C
8%
38°C
7%
39°C
5%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Lucknow's highest temperature on March 28 clusters tightly around 33–35°C, driven by the latest India Meteorological Department (IMD) ensemble forecasts projecting a mean maximum of 34°C amid partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. These conditions—low humidity below 40% and minimal cloud cover—support diurnal highs in this narrow band, with historical late-March averages at 33.5°C providing baseline context. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences: GFS leans toward 35°C due to stronger solar insolation, while ECMWF favors 33°C with slight haze uncertainty; urban heat island effects in Lucknow could nudge outcomes higher by 0.5–1°C, explaining the 29.5% edge for 33°C over 34°C's 27.5%. Upcoming hourly updates may shift odds further.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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