Persistent monsoon rains and thunderstorms forecast for Lucknow on September 26 are the main driver behind trader sentiment favoring 23–25°C highs. Official India Meteorological Department outlooks and multiple models indicate widespread cloud cover, heavy precipitation, and gusty winds that limit daytime heating and evaporative cooling, keeping maximum temperatures below seasonal norms near 28–29°C. Recent heavy rainfall across Uttar Pradesh has already lowered temperatures, with similar conditions expected to persist through the weekend. Market-implied odds cluster around 24°C as the most likely outcome, reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity that could shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Updated IMD and global model runs in the next 48 hours will provide clearer resolution criteria for this weather-dependent market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月26日勒克瑙的最高温度？
9月26日勒克瑙的最高温度？
23°C 40%
24°C 29%
25°C 22%
27°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-26
20°C或以下
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
40%
24°C
29%
25°C
22%
26°C
11%
27°C
13%
28°C
7%
29°C
4%
30°C或更高
2%
23°C 40%
24°C 29%
25°C 22%
27°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-26
20°C或以下
$0 交易量
2%
21°C
$0 交易量
2%
22°C
$0 交易量
3%
23°C
$0 交易量
40%
24°C
$7 交易量
29%
25°C
$270 交易量
22%
26°C
$23 交易量
11%
27°C
$0 交易量
13%
28°C
$3 交易量
7%
29°C
$0 交易量
4%
30°C或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon rains and thunderstorms forecast for Lucknow on September 26 are the main driver behind trader sentiment favoring 23–25°C highs. Official India Meteorological Department outlooks and multiple models indicate widespread cloud cover, heavy precipitation, and gusty winds that limit daytime heating and evaporative cooling, keeping maximum temperatures below seasonal norms near 28–29°C. Recent heavy rainfall across Uttar Pradesh has already lowered temperatures, with similar conditions expected to persist through the weekend. Market-implied odds cluster around 24°C as the most likely outcome, reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity that could shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Updated IMD and global model runs in the next 48 hours will provide clearer resolution criteria for this weather-dependent market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$303结束日期
2026-09-26市场开放时间
Sep 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon rains and thunderstorms forecast for Lucknow on September 26 are the main driver behind trader sentiment favoring 23–25°C highs. Official India Meteorological Department outlooks and multiple models indicate widespread cloud cover, heavy precipitation, and gusty winds that limit daytime heating and evaporative cooling, keeping maximum temperatures below seasonal norms near 28–29°C. Recent heavy rainfall across Uttar Pradesh has already lowered temperatures, with similar conditions expected to persist through the weekend. Market-implied odds cluster around 24°C as the most likely outcome, reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity that could shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Updated IMD and global model runs in the next 48 hours will provide clearer resolution criteria for this weather-dependent market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$303结束日期
2026-09-26市场开放时间
Sep 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETPersistent monsoon rains and thunderstorms forecast for Lucknow on September 26 are the main driver behind trader sentiment favoring 23–25°C highs. Official India Meteorological Department outlooks and multiple models indicate widespread cloud cover, heavy precipitation, and gusty winds that limit daytime heating and evaporative cooling, keeping maximum temperatures below seasonal norms near 28–29°C. Recent heavy rainfall across Uttar Pradesh has already lowered temperatures, with similar conditions expected to persist through the weekend. Market-implied odds cluster around 24°C as the most likely outcome, reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity that could shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Updated IMD and global model runs in the next 48 hours will provide clearer resolution criteria for this weather-dependent market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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