Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Mexico City's highest temperature reaching 28°C or higher on May 7 at Benito Juárez International Airport, backed by Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts projecting a maximum of 30–32°C under persistent high-pressure conditions during the late dry season. Clear skies and minimal cloud cover at the city's 2,240-meter elevation enable intense solar heating, with morning observations already climbing from 16°C toward afternoon peaks, consistent with May climatology where averages hover at 25–27°C but heat domes frequently exceed 30°C. Model consensus from SMN and international sources shows low precipitation risk before evening, solidifying positioning; realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers capping insolation, though probability remains below 5% per current guidance. Airport data updates through evening will confirm resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 7?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 7?
28°C or higher 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$25,092 交易量
$25,092 交易量
2026-05-07
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
Yes
28°C or higher 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$25,092 交易量
$25,092 交易量
2026-05-07
18°C or below
$3,353 交易量
No
19°C
$510 交易量
No
20°C
$485 交易量
No
21°C
$510 交易量
No
22°C
$1,407 交易量
No
23°C
$1,312 交易量
No
24°C
$1,051 交易量
No
25°C
$3,210 交易量
No
26°C
$5,357 交易量
No
27°C
$4,594 交易量
No
28°C or higher
$3,302 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Mexico City's highest temperature reaching 28°C or higher on May 7 at Benito Juárez International Airport, backed by Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts projecting a maximum of 30–32°C under persistent high-pressure conditions during the late dry season. Clear skies and minimal cloud cover at the city's 2,240-meter elevation enable intense solar heating, with morning observations already climbing from 16°C toward afternoon peaks, consistent with May climatology where averages hover at 25–27°C but heat domes frequently exceed 30°C. Model consensus from SMN and international sources shows low precipitation risk before evening, solidifying positioning; realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers capping insolation, though probability remains below 5% per current guidance. Airport data updates through evening will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 5, 2026, 12:46 AM ET
交易量
$25,092结束日期
2026-05-07市场开放时间
May 5, 2026, 12:46 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Mexico City's highest temperature reaching 28°C or higher on May 7 at Benito Juárez International Airport, backed by Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts projecting a maximum of 30–32°C under persistent high-pressure conditions during the late dry season. Clear skies and minimal cloud cover at the city's 2,240-meter elevation enable intense solar heating, with morning observations already climbing from 16°C toward afternoon peaks, consistent with May climatology where averages hover at 25–27°C but heat domes frequently exceed 30°C. Model consensus from SMN and international sources shows low precipitation risk before evening, solidifying positioning; realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers capping insolation, though probability remains below 5% per current guidance. Airport data updates through evening will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$25,092结束日期
2026-05-07市场开放时间
May 5, 2026, 12:46 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Mexico City's highest temperature reaching 28°C or higher on May 7 at Benito Juárez International Airport, backed by Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts projecting a maximum of 30–32°C under persistent high-pressure conditions during the late dry season. Clear skies and minimal cloud cover at the city's 2,240-meter elevation enable intense solar heating, with morning observations already climbing from 16°C toward afternoon peaks, consistent with May climatology where averages hover at 25–27°C but heat domes frequently exceed 30°C. Model consensus from SMN and international sources shows low precipitation risk before evening, solidifying positioning; realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers capping insolation, though probability remains below 5% per current guidance. Airport data updates through evening will confirm resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题