ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts show consensus for Milan's highest temperature on March 29 around 17-19°C, fueling closely matched trader odds with 17°C (27%) and 18°C (25.5%) leading amid mild anticyclonic conditions over the Po Valley. Recent 00Z model runs indicate slight warming trends from a high-pressure ridge building across central Europe, boosting probabilities for upper teens while capping 20°C+ at 10% due to potential afternoon cloudiness and light winds limiting diurnal heating. Historical late-March averages hover near 15°C, but urban heat island effects in Milan often add 1-2°C; short-term uncertainty stems from evolving frontal influences. New 12Z runs expected soon could refine the peak hour between 2-5 PM local time.