Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and DWD models drive trader consensus toward 6°C (30.5%) and 7°C (29.0%) as top outcomes for Munich's highest temperature on March 27, reflecting a cool late-winter pattern with northerly winds and scattered clouds limiting daytime heating. These closely matched odds stem from model spread: ECMWF ensembles average 6.2°C, while GFS runs bias slightly warmer at 7.1°C, amid uncertainty from an approaching low-pressure system that could enhance cloud cover and suppress peaks below 8°C. Historical March 27 highs average 10°C but vary ±4°C; recent model updates show no warm anomalies, keeping sub-5°C risks low at 18% combined. Traders eye tomorrow's 12Z runs for resolution shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Munich on March 27?
Highest temperature in Munich on March 27?
6°C 31%
7°C 28%
5°C 20%
8°C 12%
0°C or below
2%
1°C
1%
2°C
2%
3°C
5%
4°C
7%
5°C
21%
6°C
31%
7°C
28%
8°C
12%
9°C
6%
10°C or higher
3%
6°C 31%
7°C 28%
5°C 20%
8°C 12%
0°C or below
2%
1°C
1%
2°C
2%
3°C
5%
4°C
7%
5°C
21%
6°C
31%
7°C
28%
8°C
12%
9°C
6%
10°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and DWD models drive trader consensus toward 6°C (30.5%) and 7°C (29.0%) as top outcomes for Munich's highest temperature on March 27, reflecting a cool late-winter pattern with northerly winds and scattered clouds limiting daytime heating. These closely matched odds stem from model spread: ECMWF ensembles average 6.2°C, while GFS runs bias slightly warmer at 7.1°C, amid uncertainty from an approaching low-pressure system that could enhance cloud cover and suppress peaks below 8°C. Historical March 27 highs average 10°C but vary ±4°C; recent model updates show no warm anomalies, keeping sub-5°C risks low at 18% combined. Traders eye tomorrow's 12Z runs for resolution shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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