Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 31°C or higher in Panama City on April 19, with 96.8% implied probability, reflecting robust climatological norms and current forecast models showing daily highs averaging 31–34°C (88–93°F) amid the late dry season transition. Official monthly projections from sources like AccuWeather align with historical data from WeatherSpark, where April highs rarely dip below 29°C, driven by persistent high pressure, low wind shear, and minimal cloud interference in Panama's tropical lowlands. Recent observations through mid-April confirm sustained warmth, with no disruptive cool fronts or heavy precipitation in the past week. Scenarios challenging this include an anomalous influx of Atlantic moisture leading to overcast skies and convective showers, though model ensembles show low likelihood before daily updates from regional monitoring agencies.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Panama City on April 19?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 19?
31°C or higher 97.7%
30°C 1.8%
29°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
最新
$10,009 交易量
最新
$10,009 交易量
2026-04-19
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
98%
31°C or higher 97.7%
30°C 1.8%
29°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
最新
$10,009 交易量
最新
$10,009 交易量
2026-04-19
21°C or below
$1,169 交易量
<1%
22°C
$1,693 交易量
<1%
23°C
$836 交易量
<1%
24°C
$775 交易量
<1%
25°C
$740 交易量
<1%
26°C
$740 交易量
<1%
27°C
$638 交易量
<1%
28°C
$687 交易量
<1%
29°C
$537 交易量
1%
30°C
$544 交易量
2%
31°C or higher
$1,651 交易量
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 31°C or higher in Panama City on April 19, with 96.8% implied probability, reflecting robust climatological norms and current forecast models showing daily highs averaging 31–34°C (88–93°F) amid the late dry season transition. Official monthly projections from sources like AccuWeather align with historical data from WeatherSpark, where April highs rarely dip below 29°C, driven by persistent high pressure, low wind shear, and minimal cloud interference in Panama's tropical lowlands. Recent observations through mid-April confirm sustained warmth, with no disruptive cool fronts or heavy precipitation in the past week. Scenarios challenging this include an anomalous influx of Atlantic moisture leading to overcast skies and convective showers, though model ensembles show low likelihood before daily updates from regional monitoring agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 17, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
交易量
$10,009结束日期
2026-04-19市场开放时间
Apr 17, 2026, 12:41 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 31°C or higher in Panama City on April 19, with 96.8% implied probability, reflecting robust climatological norms and current forecast models showing daily highs averaging 31–34°C (88–93°F) amid the late dry season transition. Official monthly projections from sources like AccuWeather align with historical data from WeatherSpark, where April highs rarely dip below 29°C, driven by persistent high pressure, low wind shear, and minimal cloud interference in Panama's tropical lowlands. Recent observations through mid-April confirm sustained warmth, with no disruptive cool fronts or heavy precipitation in the past week. Scenarios challenging this include an anomalous influx of Atlantic moisture leading to overcast skies and convective showers, though model ensembles show low likelihood before daily updates from regional monitoring agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$10,009结束日期
2026-04-19市场开放时间
Apr 17, 2026, 12:41 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 31°C or higher in Panama City on April 19, with 96.8% implied probability, reflecting robust climatological norms and current forecast models showing daily highs averaging 31–34°C (88–93°F) amid the late dry season transition. Official monthly projections from sources like AccuWeather align with historical data from WeatherSpark, where April highs rarely dip below 29°C, driven by persistent high pressure, low wind shear, and minimal cloud interference in Panama's tropical lowlands. Recent observations through mid-April confirm sustained warmth, with no disruptive cool fronts or heavy precipitation in the past week. Scenarios challenging this include an anomalous influx of Atlantic moisture leading to overcast skies and convective showers, though model ensembles show low likelihood before daily updates from regional monitoring agencies.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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