Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 31°C or higher in Panama City, Panama, driven by official forecasts from the Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá (IMHPA) and global models like NOAA's GFS and ECMWF, which project daytime highs of 32–34°C (90–93°F) amid lingering dry-season conditions with high solar insolation, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover. Early observations from Tocumen International Airport (MPTO) METAR reports already exceed 31°C during morning hours, confirming the trend with heat indices above 34°C. Historical April climatology supports this, averaging 32°C highs, though rare scenarios like unexpected afternoon showers or increased cloudiness could suppress peaks below 31°C—but current atmospheric stability makes such shifts unlikely as final observations finalize by evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Panama City on April 19?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 19?
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$32,648 交易量
$32,648 交易量
2026-04-19
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
Yes
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$32,648 交易量
$32,648 交易量
2026-04-19
21°C or below
$5,625 交易量
No
22°C
$2,145 交易量
No
23°C
$1,209 交易量
No
24°C
$1,799 交易量
No
25°C
$1,406 交易量
No
26°C
$1,038 交易量
No
27°C
$1,101 交易量
No
28°C
$1,122 交易量
No
29°C
$5,745 交易量
No
30°C
$4,022 交易量
No
31°C or higher
$7,438 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 31°C or higher in Panama City, Panama, driven by official forecasts from the Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá (IMHPA) and global models like NOAA's GFS and ECMWF, which project daytime highs of 32–34°C (90–93°F) amid lingering dry-season conditions with high solar insolation, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover. Early observations from Tocumen International Airport (MPTO) METAR reports already exceed 31°C during morning hours, confirming the trend with heat indices above 34°C. Historical April climatology supports this, averaging 32°C highs, though rare scenarios like unexpected afternoon showers or increased cloudiness could suppress peaks below 31°C—but current atmospheric stability makes such shifts unlikely as final observations finalize by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 17, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
交易量
$32,648结束日期
2026-04-19市场开放时间
Apr 17, 2026, 12:41 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 31°C or higher in Panama City, Panama, driven by official forecasts from the Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá (IMHPA) and global models like NOAA's GFS and ECMWF, which project daytime highs of 32–34°C (90–93°F) amid lingering dry-season conditions with high solar insolation, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover. Early observations from Tocumen International Airport (MPTO) METAR reports already exceed 31°C during morning hours, confirming the trend with heat indices above 34°C. Historical April climatology supports this, averaging 32°C highs, though rare scenarios like unexpected afternoon showers or increased cloudiness could suppress peaks below 31°C—but current atmospheric stability makes such shifts unlikely as final observations finalize by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$32,648结束日期
2026-04-19市场开放时间
Apr 17, 2026, 12:41 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 31°C or higher in Panama City, Panama, driven by official forecasts from the Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá (IMHPA) and global models like NOAA's GFS and ECMWF, which project daytime highs of 32–34°C (90–93°F) amid lingering dry-season conditions with high solar insolation, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover. Early observations from Tocumen International Airport (MPTO) METAR reports already exceed 31°C during morning hours, confirming the trend with heat indices above 34°C. Historical April climatology supports this, averaging 32°C highs, though rare scenarios like unexpected afternoon showers or increased cloudiness could suppress peaks below 31°C—but current atmospheric stability makes such shifts unlikely as final observations finalize by evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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