Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 33°C or higher in Panama City, driven by National Weather Service short-range forecasts and model consensus from the Global Forecast System and European Centre ensembles projecting afternoon peaks of 34–36°C amid a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient solar insolation. Surface observations this morning already exceed 28°C with low dew points limiting convective interference, aligning with historical May records up to 35°C during similar ridging patterns. Realistic shifts downward could arise from unanticipated sea-breeze enhancement, marine stratus intrusion, or isolated thunderstorms capping daytime heating, though current soundings indicate minimal upset risk before daily maximum resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Panama City on May 12?
Highest temperature in Panama City on May 12?
33°C or higher 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$33,955 交易量
$33,955 交易量
2026-05-12
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
Yes
33°C or higher 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$33,955 交易量
$33,955 交易量
2026-05-12
23°C or below
$791 交易量
No
24°C
$805 交易量
No
25°C
$485 交易量
No
26°C
$1,057 交易量
No
27°C
$1,233 交易量
No
28°C
$1,481 交易量
No
29°C
$5,099 交易量
No
30°C
$2,907 交易量
No
31°C
$2,102 交易量
No
32°C
$11,108 交易量
No
33°C or higher
$6,888 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 33°C or higher in Panama City, driven by National Weather Service short-range forecasts and model consensus from the Global Forecast System and European Centre ensembles projecting afternoon peaks of 34–36°C amid a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient solar insolation. Surface observations this morning already exceed 28°C with low dew points limiting convective interference, aligning with historical May records up to 35°C during similar ridging patterns. Realistic shifts downward could arise from unanticipated sea-breeze enhancement, marine stratus intrusion, or isolated thunderstorms capping daytime heating, though current soundings indicate minimal upset risk before daily maximum resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$33,955结束日期
2026-05-12市场开放时间
May 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 33°C or higher in Panama City, driven by National Weather Service short-range forecasts and model consensus from the Global Forecast System and European Centre ensembles projecting afternoon peaks of 34–36°C amid a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient solar insolation. Surface observations this morning already exceed 28°C with low dew points limiting convective interference, aligning with historical May records up to 35°C during similar ridging patterns. Realistic shifts downward could arise from unanticipated sea-breeze enhancement, marine stratus intrusion, or isolated thunderstorms capping daytime heating, though current soundings indicate minimal upset risk before daily maximum resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$33,955结束日期
2026-05-12市场开放时间
May 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 33°C or higher in Panama City, driven by National Weather Service short-range forecasts and model consensus from the Global Forecast System and European Centre ensembles projecting afternoon peaks of 34–36°C amid a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient solar insolation. Surface observations this morning already exceed 28°C with low dew points limiting convective interference, aligning with historical May records up to 35°C during similar ridging patterns. Realistic shifts downward could arise from unanticipated sea-breeze enhancement, marine stratus intrusion, or isolated thunderstorms capping daytime heating, though current soundings indicate minimal upset risk before daily maximum resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题