Current meteorological forecasts and seasonal climatology strongly support trader consensus that San Francisco's high on May 24 will reach or exceed 64°F. Late-May averages hover near 67°F, with National Weather Service guidance projecting daytime peaks of 60–68°F under typical marine layer conditions and moderate onshore flow. Model consensus shows limited cooling potential, as no significant cold advection or persistent fog is anticipated. While extreme anomalies such as an unusually strong marine intrusion or rapid pressure shift could theoretically suppress readings below the threshold, historical data and real-time observations indicate such outcomes remain highly improbable on this date. Official station measurements will resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 24?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 24?
64°F or higher 100.0%
45°F or below <1%
46-47°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
$24,737 交易量
$24,737 交易量
2026-05-24
45°F or below
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64°F or higher
Yes
64°F or higher 100.0%
45°F or below <1%
46-47°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
$24,737 交易量
$24,737 交易量
2026-05-24
45°F or below
$280 交易量
No
46-47°F
$283 交易量
No
48-49°F
$3,655 交易量
No
50-51°F
$590 交易量
No
52-53°F
$828 交易量
No
54-55°F
$1,838 交易量
No
56-57°F
$1,521 交易量
No
58-59°F
$2,545 交易量
No
60-61°F
$3,482 交易量
No
62-63°F
$3,827 交易量
No
64°F or higher
$5,888 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecasts and seasonal climatology strongly support trader consensus that San Francisco's high on May 24 will reach or exceed 64°F. Late-May averages hover near 67°F, with National Weather Service guidance projecting daytime peaks of 60–68°F under typical marine layer conditions and moderate onshore flow. Model consensus shows limited cooling potential, as no significant cold advection or persistent fog is anticipated. While extreme anomalies such as an unusually strong marine intrusion or rapid pressure shift could theoretically suppress readings below the threshold, historical data and real-time observations indicate such outcomes remain highly improbable on this date. Official station measurements will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 22, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
交易量
$24,737结束日期
2026-05-24市场开放时间
May 22, 2026, 12:43 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecasts and seasonal climatology strongly support trader consensus that San Francisco's high on May 24 will reach or exceed 64°F. Late-May averages hover near 67°F, with National Weather Service guidance projecting daytime peaks of 60–68°F under typical marine layer conditions and moderate onshore flow. Model consensus shows limited cooling potential, as no significant cold advection or persistent fog is anticipated. While extreme anomalies such as an unusually strong marine intrusion or rapid pressure shift could theoretically suppress readings below the threshold, historical data and real-time observations indicate such outcomes remain highly improbable on this date. Official station measurements will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$24,737结束日期
2026-05-24市场开放时间
May 22, 2026, 12:43 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Current meteorological forecasts and seasonal climatology strongly support trader consensus that San Francisco's high on May 24 will reach or exceed 64°F. Late-May averages hover near 67°F, with National Weather Service guidance projecting daytime peaks of 60–68°F under typical marine layer conditions and moderate onshore flow. Model consensus shows limited cooling potential, as no significant cold advection or persistent fog is anticipated. While extreme anomalies such as an unusually strong marine intrusion or rapid pressure shift could theoretically suppress readings below the threshold, historical data and real-time observations indicate such outcomes remain highly improbable on this date. Official station measurements will resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题