Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather project Miami highs around 88–91°F for August 10, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 90–93°F bins that together exceed 80% implied probability. Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity, light easterly flow, and typical sea-breeze modulation, position temperatures near the long-term August average of 88–90°F, with only modest day-to-day variability. No significant tropical moisture or cold fronts are indicated in the latest model runs, keeping extreme outliers below 10% probability. Traders appear to weight the consensus range heavily, reflecting stable atmospheric patterns and limited forecast spread within 24–48 hours of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月10日迈阿密气温最高？
8月10日迈阿密气温最高？
92-93°F 52%
90-91°F 31%
94-95°F 16%
96-97°F 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
81°F或以下
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
31%
92-93°F
52%
94-95°F
16%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F或更高
1%
92-93°F 52%
90-91°F 31%
94-95°F 16%
96-97°F 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
81°F或以下
$12 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$12 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$12 交易量
1%
86-87°F
$27 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$59 交易量
2%
90-91°F
$683 交易量
31%
92-93°F
$299 交易量
52%
94-95°F
$45 交易量
16%
96-97°F
$115 交易量
3%
98-99°F
$5 交易量
<1%
100°F或更高
$12 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather project Miami highs around 88–91°F for August 10, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 90–93°F bins that together exceed 80% implied probability. Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity, light easterly flow, and typical sea-breeze modulation, position temperatures near the long-term August average of 88–90°F, with only modest day-to-day variability. No significant tropical moisture or cold fronts are indicated in the latest model runs, keeping extreme outliers below 10% probability. Traders appear to weight the consensus range heavily, reflecting stable atmospheric patterns and limited forecast spread within 24–48 hours of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 8, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
交易量
$1,281结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 9:04 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather project Miami highs around 88–91°F for August 10, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 90–93°F bins that together exceed 80% implied probability. Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity, light easterly flow, and typical sea-breeze modulation, position temperatures near the long-term August average of 88–90°F, with only modest day-to-day variability. No significant tropical moisture or cold fronts are indicated in the latest model runs, keeping extreme outliers below 10% probability. Traders appear to weight the consensus range heavily, reflecting stable atmospheric patterns and limited forecast spread within 24–48 hours of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,281结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 9:04 PM ETRecent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather project Miami highs around 88–91°F for August 10, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 90–93°F bins that together exceed 80% implied probability. Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity, light easterly flow, and typical sea-breeze modulation, position temperatures near the long-term August average of 88–90°F, with only modest day-to-day variability. No significant tropical moisture or cold fronts are indicated in the latest model runs, keeping extreme outliers below 10% probability. Traders appear to weight the consensus range heavily, reflecting stable atmospheric patterns and limited forecast spread within 24–48 hours of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题