Trader consensus centers on a 70-73°F high for San Francisco on August 8 because official National Weather Service and model guidance project moderate onshore flow and a persistent marine layer that limits daytime warming along the immediate coast. Sea surface temperatures near 58-60°F and typical August northerly winds favor afternoon maxima in the low 70s, consistent with climatological norms of 69-71°F. Minor differences between the top two bins hinge on the precise timing of any fog clearance and subtle high-pressure ridging that could allow brief additional heating; ensembles show limited spread, with only low-probability scenarios reaching 74°F or higher if winds turn offshore. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月8日旧金山气温最高？
8月8日旧金山气温最高？
72-73°F 36%
70-71°F 33%
74-75°F 20%
68-69°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
67°F或以下
4%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
33%
72-73°F
36%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F或更高
<1%
72-73°F 36%
70-71°F 33%
74-75°F 20%
68-69°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
67°F或以下
$403 交易量
4%
68-69°F
$477 交易量
9%
70-71°F
$827 交易量
33%
72-73°F
$974 交易量
36%
74-75°F
$793 交易量
20%
76-77°F
$587 交易量
5%
78-79°F
$118 交易量
1%
80-81°F
$185 交易量
1%
82-83°F
$278 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$98 交易量
<1%
86°F或更高
$102 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on a 70-73°F high for San Francisco on August 8 because official National Weather Service and model guidance project moderate onshore flow and a persistent marine layer that limits daytime warming along the immediate coast. Sea surface temperatures near 58-60°F and typical August northerly winds favor afternoon maxima in the low 70s, consistent with climatological norms of 69-71°F. Minor differences between the top two bins hinge on the precise timing of any fog clearance and subtle high-pressure ridging that could allow brief additional heating; ensembles show limited spread, with only low-probability scenarios reaching 74°F or higher if winds turn offshore. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$4,842结束日期
2026-08-08市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on a 70-73°F high for San Francisco on August 8 because official National Weather Service and model guidance project moderate onshore flow and a persistent marine layer that limits daytime warming along the immediate coast. Sea surface temperatures near 58-60°F and typical August northerly winds favor afternoon maxima in the low 70s, consistent with climatological norms of 69-71°F. Minor differences between the top two bins hinge on the precise timing of any fog clearance and subtle high-pressure ridging that could allow brief additional heating; ensembles show limited spread, with only low-probability scenarios reaching 74°F or higher if winds turn offshore. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,842结束日期
2026-08-08市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETTrader consensus centers on a 70-73°F high for San Francisco on August 8 because official National Weather Service and model guidance project moderate onshore flow and a persistent marine layer that limits daytime warming along the immediate coast. Sea surface temperatures near 58-60°F and typical August northerly winds favor afternoon maxima in the low 70s, consistent with climatological norms of 69-71°F. Minor differences between the top two bins hinge on the precise timing of any fog clearance and subtle high-pressure ridging that could allow brief additional heating; ensembles show limited spread, with only low-probability scenarios reaching 74°F or higher if winds turn offshore. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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