Official forecasts from Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and supporting international models consistently projected a daily maximum near 23 °C for São Paulo on June 6 under typical early austral winter conditions, including broken cloud cover and light southeasterly flow that limited daytime heating. This aligns with the city’s June climatological average high of approximately 22–23 °C and recent observational trends showing moderation from earlier-month warmth. Post-event station data have now confirmed the peak reached exactly this threshold, producing the market’s overwhelming 100 % implied probability on the 23 °C outcome. Minor model spread or station-to-station differences could theoretically shift the recorded maximum by 1 °C, though current evidence makes such revisions unlikely before final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月6日圣保罗的最高温度？
6月6日圣保罗的最高温度？
23°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$45,525 交易量
$45,525 交易量
2026-06-06
15°C或以下
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
是
24°C
否
25°C或更高
否
23°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$45,525 交易量
$45,525 交易量
2026-06-06
15°C或以下
$171 交易量
否
16°C
$4,926 交易量
否
17°C
$818 交易量
否
18°C
$3,868 交易量
否
19°C
$3,553 交易量
否
20°C
$3,859 交易量
否
21°C
$2,447 交易量
否
22°C
$3,778 交易量
否
23°C
$8,813 交易量
是
24°C
$7,194 交易量
否
25°C或更高
$6,098 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and supporting international models consistently projected a daily maximum near 23 °C for São Paulo on June 6 under typical early austral winter conditions, including broken cloud cover and light southeasterly flow that limited daytime heating. This aligns with the city’s June climatological average high of approximately 22–23 °C and recent observational trends showing moderation from earlier-month warmth. Post-event station data have now confirmed the peak reached exactly this threshold, producing the market’s overwhelming 100 % implied probability on the 23 °C outcome. Minor model spread or station-to-station differences could theoretically shift the recorded maximum by 1 °C, though current evidence makes such revisions unlikely before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$45,525结束日期
2026-06-06市场开放时间
Jun 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and supporting international models consistently projected a daily maximum near 23 °C for São Paulo on June 6 under typical early austral winter conditions, including broken cloud cover and light southeasterly flow that limited daytime heating. This aligns with the city’s June climatological average high of approximately 22–23 °C and recent observational trends showing moderation from earlier-month warmth. Post-event station data have now confirmed the peak reached exactly this threshold, producing the market’s overwhelming 100 % implied probability on the 23 °C outcome. Minor model spread or station-to-station differences could theoretically shift the recorded maximum by 1 °C, though current evidence makes such revisions unlikely before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$45,525结束日期
2026-06-06市场开放时间
Jun 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official forecasts from Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and supporting international models consistently projected a daily maximum near 23 °C for São Paulo on June 6 under typical early austral winter conditions, including broken cloud cover and light southeasterly flow that limited daytime heating. This aligns with the city’s June climatological average high of approximately 22–23 °C and recent observational trends showing moderation from earlier-month warmth. Post-event station data have now confirmed the peak reached exactly this threshold, producing the market’s overwhelming 100 % implied probability on the 23 °C outcome. Minor model spread or station-to-station differences could theoretically shift the recorded maximum by 1 °C, though current evidence makes such revisions unlikely before final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题