Official observations from Singapore's Meteorological Service Singapore (MSS) confirm the daily maximum temperature reached 32°C on May 5 amid persistent afternoon thundery showers, driving trader consensus to a 100% market-implied probability for this outcome. NEA advisories highlighted increased convective activity in the early May inter-monsoon period, with cloud cover and 48.5 mm rainfall suppressing solar heating below recent April peaks of 35.5°C at stations like Paya Lebar. Historical May climatology shows daily highs clustering around 31–33°C, aligning with this positioning. Realistic challenges include a late data revision from peripheral stations like Admiralty (peaking near 35°C midday but moderated), though final NEA validations rarely shift post-initial reports; expect climate bulletin confirmation by mid-month.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Singapore on May 5?
32°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$111,055 交易量
$111,055 交易量
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$111,055 交易量
$111,055 交易量
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 3, 2026, 12:45 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observations from Singapore's Meteorological Service Singapore (MSS) confirm the daily maximum temperature reached 32°C on May 5 amid persistent afternoon thundery showers, driving trader consensus to a 100% market-implied probability for this outcome. NEA advisories highlighted increased convective activity in the early May inter-monsoon period, with cloud cover and 48.5 mm rainfall suppressing solar heating below recent April peaks of 35.5°C at stations like Paya Lebar. Historical May climatology shows daily highs clustering around 31–33°C, aligning with this positioning. Realistic challenges include a late data revision from peripheral stations like Admiralty (peaking near 35°C midday but moderated), though final NEA validations rarely shift post-initial reports; expect climate bulletin confirmation by mid-month.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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