Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 32°C in Singapore on May 7, 2026, driven by official data from the National Environment Agency's (NEA) Meteorological Service Singapore at the Changi Climate Station—the market's resolution reference—which recorded a daily maximum of 32°C. This aligns with May climatology, where average daily highs cluster around 31–33°C amid the inter-monsoon period's frequent thundery showers, which provide cloud cover and cooling precipitation to suppress peaks despite warmer forecasts of 33–35°C. NEA advisories noted above-average rainfall in the first fortnight, tempering heat buildup. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions post-quality control (expected by the 10th) or an improbable late-afternoon spike, though evening conditions with showers make escalation unlikely.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Singapore on May 7?
Highest temperature in Singapore on May 7?
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$82,909 交易量
$82,909 交易量
2026-05-07
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$82,909 交易量
$82,909 交易量
2026-05-07
25°C or below
$742 交易量
No
26°C
$1,450 交易量
No
27°C
$1,985 交易量
No
28°C
$3,968 交易量
No
29°C
$7,995 交易量
No
30°C
$10,446 交易量
No
31°C
$6,122 交易量
No
32°C
$18,205 交易量
Yes
33°C
$15,652 交易量
No
34°C
$10,646 交易量
No
35°C or higher
$5,698 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 32°C in Singapore on May 7, 2026, driven by official data from the National Environment Agency's (NEA) Meteorological Service Singapore at the Changi Climate Station—the market's resolution reference—which recorded a daily maximum of 32°C. This aligns with May climatology, where average daily highs cluster around 31–33°C amid the inter-monsoon period's frequent thundery showers, which provide cloud cover and cooling precipitation to suppress peaks despite warmer forecasts of 33–35°C. NEA advisories noted above-average rainfall in the first fortnight, tempering heat buildup. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions post-quality control (expected by the 10th) or an improbable late-afternoon spike, though evening conditions with showers make escalation unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 5, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
交易量
$82,909结束日期
2026-05-07市场开放时间
May 5, 2026, 12:22 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 32°C in Singapore on May 7, 2026, driven by official data from the National Environment Agency's (NEA) Meteorological Service Singapore at the Changi Climate Station—the market's resolution reference—which recorded a daily maximum of 32°C. This aligns with May climatology, where average daily highs cluster around 31–33°C amid the inter-monsoon period's frequent thundery showers, which provide cloud cover and cooling precipitation to suppress peaks despite warmer forecasts of 33–35°C. NEA advisories noted above-average rainfall in the first fortnight, tempering heat buildup. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions post-quality control (expected by the 10th) or an improbable late-afternoon spike, though evening conditions with showers make escalation unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$82,909结束日期
2026-05-07市场开放时间
May 5, 2026, 12:22 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 32°C in Singapore on May 7, 2026, driven by official data from the National Environment Agency's (NEA) Meteorological Service Singapore at the Changi Climate Station—the market's resolution reference—which recorded a daily maximum of 32°C. This aligns with May climatology, where average daily highs cluster around 31–33°C amid the inter-monsoon period's frequent thundery showers, which provide cloud cover and cooling precipitation to suppress peaks despite warmer forecasts of 33–35°C. NEA advisories noted above-average rainfall in the first fortnight, tempering heat buildup. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions post-quality control (expected by the 10th) or an improbable late-afternoon spike, though evening conditions with showers make escalation unlikely.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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