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icon for IA-01民主党初选获胜者

IA-01民主党初选获胜者

icon for IA-01民主党初选获胜者

IA-01民主党初选获胜者

克里斯蒂娜·博哈南 100.0%

特拉维斯·特雷尔 <1%

泰勒·韦塔赫 <1%

Polymarket

$26,259 交易量

克里斯蒂娜·博哈南 100.0%

特拉维斯·特雷尔 <1%

泰勒·韦塔赫 <1%

Polymarket

$26,259 交易量

特拉维斯·特雷尔

$4,687 交易量

克里斯蒂娜·博哈南

$17,167 交易量

泰勒·韦塔赫

$4,405 交易量

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Christina Bohannan secured the Democratic nomination for Iowa’s 1st Congressional District in the June 2 primary with roughly 82 percent of the vote, reflecting her status as the party’s established repeat nominee after prior general-election runs in 2022 and 2024. As a former state representative and University of Iowa law professor, she entered the contest with substantial name recognition, fundraising advantages, and organizational support that limited challengers Travis Terrell and Taylor Wettach to marginal shares. Trader consensus at near-certainty levels aligns with these confirmed primary results. Remaining uncertainty centers on final vote certification and any unforeseen procedural delays, though the margin makes shifts improbable.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$26,259
结束日期
2026-06-02
市场开放时间
Feb 25, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

已提议结果: 是

无争议

最终结果: 是

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Christina Bohannan secured the Democratic nomination for Iowa’s 1st Congressional District in the June 2 primary with roughly 82 percent of the vote, reflecting her status as the party’s established repeat nominee after prior general-election runs in 2022 and 2024. As a former state representative and University of Iowa law professor, she entered the contest with substantial name recognition, fundraising advantages, and organizational support that limited challengers Travis Terrell and Taylor Wettach to marginal shares. Trader consensus at near-certainty levels aligns with these confirmed primary results. Remaining uncertainty centers on final vote certification and any unforeseen procedural delays, though the margin makes shifts improbable.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$26,259
结束日期
2026-06-02
市场开放时间
Feb 25, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

已提议结果: 是

无争议

最终结果: 是

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"IA-01民主党初选获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 3 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"克里斯蒂娜·博哈南",概率为 100%,其次是"特拉维斯·特雷尔",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"IA-01民主党初选获胜者"已产生 $26.3K 的总交易量(自Feb 25, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"IA-01民主党初选获胜者"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 3 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"IA-01民主党初选获胜者"的当前领先者是"克里斯蒂娜·博哈南",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"特拉维斯·特雷尔",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"IA-01民主党初选获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。