Official records from 2019, including the New York City medical examiner’s autopsy and multiple federal reviews, established Jeffrey Epstein’s death by suicide in federal custody, with no subsequent verified identifications or credible evidence of survival emerging in the years since. Recent Department of Justice file releases in early 2026, including post-mortem imagery and prison logs, have reinforced this conclusion while triggering only debunked social media claims involving AI-generated images or misdated documents. The compressed window before 2027 further limits realistic pathways for confirmation. Trader consensus at 97.5% against reflects the absence of primary-source developments capable of overturning established forensic and investigative findings, though an authenticated sighting or official reversal based on new DNA or witness evidence could theoretically shift probabilities.