Current forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows near 13–14°C for Amsterdam on August 21, consistent with typical late-summer maritime conditions influenced by the North Sea. This aligns with climatological averages of 12–14°C minimums in the final third of August, driven by seasonal cooling trends and moderate diurnal ranges under variable cloud cover and light winds. No significant cold fronts, heat anomalies, or model divergences appear in recent runs, supporting trader consensus around the 13°C outcome at 59.5% implied probability while leaving room for minor adjustments based on final observational data from stations like Schiphol.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月21日阿姆斯特丹的最低温度?
12°C 2%
11°C 1.3%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
9°C or below
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
60%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
12°C 2%
11°C 1.3%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
9°C or below
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
60%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows near 13–14°C for Amsterdam on August 21, consistent with typical late-summer maritime conditions influenced by the North Sea. This aligns with climatological averages of 12–14°C minimums in the final third of August, driven by seasonal cooling trends and moderate diurnal ranges under variable cloud cover and light winds. No significant cold fronts, heat anomalies, or model divergences appear in recent runs, supporting trader consensus around the 13°C outcome at 59.5% implied probability while leaving room for minor adjustments based on final observational data from stations like Schiphol.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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