Recent forecasts from GFS and ECMWF runs indicate Amsterdam's minimum temperature on September 7 will likely fall in the 16–18°C range, driven by southerly flow advecting mild air and extensive cloud cover limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Overnight readings are projected to bottom out near 16–17°C under mostly cloudy skies and light winds before daytime highs reach 24–27°C. Model consensus shows little spread for this 24-hour window, though any unexpected clearing could allow slightly lower values. Trader pricing clusters tightly around 15–17°C outcomes, reflecting high confidence in these mild conditions relative to September climatology while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer temperatures.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月7日阿姆斯特丹的最低温度?
17°C 32%
16°C 31%
15°C 28%
18°C 17%
11°C或以下
7%
12°C
6%
13°C
14%
14°C
11%
15°C
28%
16°C
31%
17°C
32%
18°C
17%
19°C
8%
20°C
8%
21°C或更高
6%
17°C 32%
16°C 31%
15°C 28%
18°C 17%
11°C或以下
7%
12°C
6%
13°C
14%
14°C
11%
15°C
28%
16°C
31%
17°C
32%
18°C
17%
19°C
8%
20°C
8%
21°C或更高
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from GFS and ECMWF runs indicate Amsterdam's minimum temperature on September 7 will likely fall in the 16–18°C range, driven by southerly flow advecting mild air and extensive cloud cover limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Overnight readings are projected to bottom out near 16–17°C under mostly cloudy skies and light winds before daytime highs reach 24–27°C. Model consensus shows little spread for this 24-hour window, though any unexpected clearing could allow slightly lower values. Trader pricing clusters tightly around 15–17°C outcomes, reflecting high confidence in these mild conditions relative to September climatology while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer temperatures.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题