Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate overnight lows in Milan on August 29, 2026, stabilizing near 20–23 °C under high pressure with light winds and minimal cloud cover, aligning closely with the market's strong 96% implied probability for a 19 °C minimum. Seasonal climatology supports this positioning, as August average lows hover around 18–19 °C, and recent model runs show no major cooling advection or anomalous radiative effects to push readings lower. The consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of official guidance from agencies tracking Po Valley conditions. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in cloud cover or a late-arriving frontal boundary to enhance cooling, though current stability and consensus model agreement limit that likelihood before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日米兰最低气温?
19°C 96%
16°C 3%
17°C 3%
18°C 3%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C
96%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 96%
16°C 3%
17°C 3%
18°C 3%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C
96%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate overnight lows in Milan on August 29, 2026, stabilizing near 20–23 °C under high pressure with light winds and minimal cloud cover, aligning closely with the market's strong 96% implied probability for a 19 °C minimum. Seasonal climatology supports this positioning, as August average lows hover around 18–19 °C, and recent model runs show no major cooling advection or anomalous radiative effects to push readings lower. The consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of official guidance from agencies tracking Po Valley conditions. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in cloud cover or a late-arriving frontal boundary to enhance cooling, though current stability and consensus model agreement limit that likelihood before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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