Forecasts from multiple models indicate partly cloudy skies and light variable winds over Milan on September 24, with daytime highs near 23–25°C but significant uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under high pressure. Minimum temperatures hinge on cloud cover extent, dew point depression, and boundary-layer mixing, with current guidance clustering between 13–16°C yet showing divergence between ECMWF and GFS runs on the strength of any easterly flow. This narrow expected range and model spread explain the near-even market split between 18°C-or-higher and 8°C-or-below outcomes, as traders weigh the potential for clearer skies to push readings lower versus residual moisture or advection keeping values milder. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月24日米兰最低气温？
9月24日米兰最低气温？
8°C或以下 98%
18°C或更高 97%
12°C 40%
11°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-24
8°C或以下
98%
9°C
37%
10°C
37%
11°C
39%
12°C
40%
13°C
22%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C或更高
97%
8°C或以下 98%
18°C或更高 97%
12°C 40%
11°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-24
8°C或以下
$0 交易量
98%
9°C
$0 交易量
37%
10°C
$0 交易量
37%
11°C
$0 交易量
39%
12°C
$0 交易量
40%
13°C
$0 交易量
22%
14°C
$0 交易量
39%
15°C
$0 交易量
39%
16°C
$0 交易量
39%
17°C
$0 交易量
39%
18°C或更高
$0 交易量
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple models indicate partly cloudy skies and light variable winds over Milan on September 24, with daytime highs near 23–25°C but significant uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under high pressure. Minimum temperatures hinge on cloud cover extent, dew point depression, and boundary-layer mixing, with current guidance clustering between 13–16°C yet showing divergence between ECMWF and GFS runs on the strength of any easterly flow. This narrow expected range and model spread explain the near-even market split between 18°C-or-higher and 8°C-or-below outcomes, as traders weigh the potential for clearer skies to push readings lower versus residual moisture or advection keeping values milder. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-24市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple models indicate partly cloudy skies and light variable winds over Milan on September 24, with daytime highs near 23–25°C but significant uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under high pressure. Minimum temperatures hinge on cloud cover extent, dew point depression, and boundary-layer mixing, with current guidance clustering between 13–16°C yet showing divergence between ECMWF and GFS runs on the strength of any easterly flow. This narrow expected range and model spread explain the near-even market split between 18°C-or-higher and 8°C-or-below outcomes, as traders weigh the potential for clearer skies to push readings lower versus residual moisture or advection keeping values milder. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-24市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETForecasts from multiple models indicate partly cloudy skies and light variable winds over Milan on September 24, with daytime highs near 23–25°C but significant uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under high pressure. Minimum temperatures hinge on cloud cover extent, dew point depression, and boundary-layer mixing, with current guidance clustering between 13–16°C yet showing divergence between ECMWF and GFS runs on the strength of any easterly flow. This narrow expected range and model spread explain the near-even market split between 18°C-or-higher and 8°C-or-below outcomes, as traders weigh the potential for clearer skies to push readings lower versus residual moisture or advection keeping values milder. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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