Recent forecast consensus from European models points to a minimum temperature in Milan on September 23 around 15–17°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, yet market-implied odds remain evenly split between 11°C or below and 21°C or higher. This balance reflects genuine uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling versus potential warm-air advection from the Mediterranean, modulated by the strength of the subtropical ridge and any weak frontal boundary crossing the Po Valley. Clearer skies overnight could enhance cooling below typical September baselines of 14–16°C, while stronger winds or increased cloud cover would limit the drop. Traders are watching the next ECMWF and Italian Meteorological Service runs for refinements in boundary-layer moisture and wind shear ahead of the close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月23日米兰最低气温？
9月23日米兰最低气温？
11°C或以下 100%
21°C或更高 100%
16℃ 40%
15°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
11°C或以下
100%
12°C
38%
13°C
38%
14°C
38%
15°C
39%
16℃
40%
17°C
23%
18°C
38%
19°C
38%
20°C
38%
21°C或更高
100%
11°C或以下 100%
21°C或更高 100%
16℃ 40%
15°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
11°C或以下
$0 交易量
100%
12°C
$0 交易量
38%
13°C
$0 交易量
38%
14°C
$0 交易量
38%
15°C
$0 交易量
39%
16℃
$0 交易量
40%
17°C
$0 交易量
23%
18°C
$0 交易量
38%
19°C
$0 交易量
38%
20°C
$0 交易量
38%
21°C或更高
$0 交易量
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from European models points to a minimum temperature in Milan on September 23 around 15–17°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, yet market-implied odds remain evenly split between 11°C or below and 21°C or higher. This balance reflects genuine uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling versus potential warm-air advection from the Mediterranean, modulated by the strength of the subtropical ridge and any weak frontal boundary crossing the Po Valley. Clearer skies overnight could enhance cooling below typical September baselines of 14–16°C, while stronger winds or increased cloud cover would limit the drop. Traders are watching the next ECMWF and Italian Meteorological Service runs for refinements in boundary-layer moisture and wind shear ahead of the close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-23市场开放时间
Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from European models points to a minimum temperature in Milan on September 23 around 15–17°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, yet market-implied odds remain evenly split between 11°C or below and 21°C or higher. This balance reflects genuine uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling versus potential warm-air advection from the Mediterranean, modulated by the strength of the subtropical ridge and any weak frontal boundary crossing the Po Valley. Clearer skies overnight could enhance cooling below typical September baselines of 14–16°C, while stronger winds or increased cloud cover would limit the drop. Traders are watching the next ECMWF and Italian Meteorological Service runs for refinements in boundary-layer moisture and wind shear ahead of the close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-23市场开放时间
Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecast consensus from European models points to a minimum temperature in Milan on September 23 around 15–17°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, yet market-implied odds remain evenly split between 11°C or below and 21°C or higher. This balance reflects genuine uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling versus potential warm-air advection from the Mediterranean, modulated by the strength of the subtropical ridge and any weak frontal boundary crossing the Po Valley. Clearer skies overnight could enhance cooling below typical September baselines of 14–16°C, while stronger winds or increased cloud cover would limit the drop. Traders are watching the next ECMWF and Italian Meteorological Service runs for refinements in boundary-layer moisture and wind shear ahead of the close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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