Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a lowest temperature of 48-49°F at New York City's Central Park station (KNYC) on April 24, 2026, backed by official National Weather Service observations recording a minimum of 49°F around 6:51 AM amid cloudy skies and light easterly winds that suppressed nocturnal cooling. This aligns precisely with pre-event NOAA forecast model ensembles (GFS, NAM), which projected mild overnight lows in the upper 40s due to persistent cloud cover, urban heat island effects, and southerly flow patterns—conditions typical for late April climatology, where historical Central Park lows average 46-50°F. Revisions to verified NWS data are exceedingly rare, solidifying the positioning absent anomalous sensor issues.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于纽约市4月24日的最低温度？
纽约市4月24日的最低温度？
48-49°F 100.0%
41华氏度或更低 <1%
42-43°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
$49,008 交易量
$49,008 交易量
2026-04-24
41华氏度或更低
否
42-43°F
否
44-45°F
否
46-47°F
否
48-49°F
是
50-51°F
否
52-53°F
否
54-55°F
否
56-57°F
否
58-59°F
否
60°F或更高
否
48-49°F 100.0%
41华氏度或更低 <1%
42-43°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
$49,008 交易量
$49,008 交易量
2026-04-24
41华氏度或更低
$3,059 交易量
否
42-43°F
$7,677 交易量
否
44-45°F
$5,400 交易量
否
46-47°F
$10,077 交易量
否
48-49°F
$7,315 交易量
是
50-51°F
$2,370 交易量
否
52-53°F
$2,167 交易量
否
54-55°F
$1,587 交易量
否
56-57°F
$3,063 交易量
否
58-59°F
$1,140 交易量
否
60°F或更高
$5,153 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a lowest temperature of 48-49°F at New York City's Central Park station (KNYC) on April 24, 2026, backed by official National Weather Service observations recording a minimum of 49°F around 6:51 AM amid cloudy skies and light easterly winds that suppressed nocturnal cooling. This aligns precisely with pre-event NOAA forecast model ensembles (GFS, NAM), which projected mild overnight lows in the upper 40s due to persistent cloud cover, urban heat island effects, and southerly flow patterns—conditions typical for late April climatology, where historical Central Park lows average 46-50°F. Revisions to verified NWS data are exceedingly rare, solidifying the positioning absent anomalous sensor issues.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 22, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
交易量
$49,008结束日期
2026-04-24市场开放时间
Apr 22, 2026, 12:01 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a lowest temperature of 48-49°F at New York City's Central Park station (KNYC) on April 24, 2026, backed by official National Weather Service observations recording a minimum of 49°F around 6:51 AM amid cloudy skies and light easterly winds that suppressed nocturnal cooling. This aligns precisely with pre-event NOAA forecast model ensembles (GFS, NAM), which projected mild overnight lows in the upper 40s due to persistent cloud cover, urban heat island effects, and southerly flow patterns—conditions typical for late April climatology, where historical Central Park lows average 46-50°F. Revisions to verified NWS data are exceedingly rare, solidifying the positioning absent anomalous sensor issues.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$49,008结束日期
2026-04-24市场开放时间
Apr 22, 2026, 12:01 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a lowest temperature of 48-49°F at New York City's Central Park station (KNYC) on April 24, 2026, backed by official National Weather Service observations recording a minimum of 49°F around 6:51 AM amid cloudy skies and light easterly winds that suppressed nocturnal cooling. This aligns precisely with pre-event NOAA forecast model ensembles (GFS, NAM), which projected mild overnight lows in the upper 40s due to persistent cloud cover, urban heat island effects, and southerly flow patterns—conditions typical for late April climatology, where historical Central Park lows average 46-50°F. Revisions to verified NWS data are exceedingly rare, solidifying the positioning absent anomalous sensor issues.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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