Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicates a minimum temperature in Paris on September 5 likely between 14–17°C, driven by a stable high-pressure system with northwest winds and partly to mostly clear skies overnight that promote moderate radiative cooling. Light winds and dew points around 10–14°C limit further temperature drops, while the mild upstream air mass—following several days of highs near 25–28°C—prevents colder advection. This setup aligns with trader emphasis on 15°C and 16°C outcomes, though slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover introduces uncertainty around whether the low falls to 14°C or below. Updated runs ahead of the overnight period will refine the exact minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日巴黎最低气温？
9月5日巴黎最低气温？
24°C或更高 41%
18°C 32%
15°C 32%
16°C 30%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
14°C或以下
19%
15°C
32%
16°C
30%
17°C
19%
18°C
32%
19°C
26%
20°C
2%
21°C
8%
22°C
8%
23°C
8%
24°C或更高
41%
24°C或更高 41%
18°C 32%
15°C 32%
16°C 30%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
14°C或以下
$0 交易量
19%
15°C
$0 交易量
32%
16°C
$144 交易量
30%
17°C
$99 交易量
19%
18°C
$0 交易量
32%
19°C
$0 交易量
26%
20°C
$0 交易量
2%
21°C
$0 交易量
8%
22°C
$0 交易量
8%
23°C
$0 交易量
8%
24°C或更高
$0 交易量
41%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicates a minimum temperature in Paris on September 5 likely between 14–17°C, driven by a stable high-pressure system with northwest winds and partly to mostly clear skies overnight that promote moderate radiative cooling. Light winds and dew points around 10–14°C limit further temperature drops, while the mild upstream air mass—following several days of highs near 25–28°C—prevents colder advection. This setup aligns with trader emphasis on 15°C and 16°C outcomes, though slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover introduces uncertainty around whether the low falls to 14°C or below. Updated runs ahead of the overnight period will refine the exact minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$243结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicates a minimum temperature in Paris on September 5 likely between 14–17°C, driven by a stable high-pressure system with northwest winds and partly to mostly clear skies overnight that promote moderate radiative cooling. Light winds and dew points around 10–14°C limit further temperature drops, while the mild upstream air mass—following several days of highs near 25–28°C—prevents colder advection. This setup aligns with trader emphasis on 15°C and 16°C outcomes, though slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover introduces uncertainty around whether the low falls to 14°C or below. Updated runs ahead of the overnight period will refine the exact minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$243结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicates a minimum temperature in Paris on September 5 likely between 14–17°C, driven by a stable high-pressure system with northwest winds and partly to mostly clear skies overnight that promote moderate radiative cooling. Light winds and dew points around 10–14°C limit further temperature drops, while the mild upstream air mass—following several days of highs near 25–28°C—prevents colder advection. This setup aligns with trader emphasis on 15°C and 16°C outcomes, though slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover introduces uncertainty around whether the low falls to 14°C or below. Updated runs ahead of the overnight period will refine the exact minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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