Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a mild air mass over northern France, with limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds, supporting a September 4 minimum in Paris near 18–19°C. This aligns closely with the market's leading outcomes at 35% and 33.5% implied probability, respectively, as traders weigh model consensus against typical early-September variability. Historical climatology shows average lows around 13°C, but current guidance points to above-normal temperatures driven by persistent high pressure and southerly flow. Updated high-resolution runs from Météo-France and the next ECMWF cycle will likely refine dew-point and boundary-layer details ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日巴黎最低气温？
9月4日巴黎最低气温？
18°C 36%
17°C 30%
20°C 30%
19°C 24%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
14°C或以下
7%
15°C
9%
16°C
9%
17°C
30%
18°C
36%
19°C
35%
20°C
30%
21°C
9%
22°C
2%
23°C
8%
24°C或更高
7%
18°C 36%
17°C 30%
20°C 30%
19°C 24%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
14°C或以下
$0 交易量
7%
15°C
$0 交易量
9%
16°C
$0 交易量
9%
17°C
$0 交易量
30%
18°C
$0 交易量
36%
19°C
$506 交易量
35%
20°C
$0 交易量
30%
21°C
$0 交易量
9%
22°C
$0 交易量
2%
23°C
$0 交易量
8%
24°C或更高
$0 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a mild air mass over northern France, with limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds, supporting a September 4 minimum in Paris near 18–19°C. This aligns closely with the market's leading outcomes at 35% and 33.5% implied probability, respectively, as traders weigh model consensus against typical early-September variability. Historical climatology shows average lows around 13°C, but current guidance points to above-normal temperatures driven by persistent high pressure and southerly flow. Updated high-resolution runs from Météo-France and the next ECMWF cycle will likely refine dew-point and boundary-layer details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$506结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a mild air mass over northern France, with limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds, supporting a September 4 minimum in Paris near 18–19°C. This aligns closely with the market's leading outcomes at 35% and 33.5% implied probability, respectively, as traders weigh model consensus against typical early-September variability. Historical climatology shows average lows around 13°C, but current guidance points to above-normal temperatures driven by persistent high pressure and southerly flow. Updated high-resolution runs from Météo-France and the next ECMWF cycle will likely refine dew-point and boundary-layer details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$506结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a mild air mass over northern France, with limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds, supporting a September 4 minimum in Paris near 18–19°C. This aligns closely with the market's leading outcomes at 35% and 33.5% implied probability, respectively, as traders weigh model consensus against typical early-September variability. Historical climatology shows average lows around 13°C, but current guidance points to above-normal temperatures driven by persistent high pressure and southerly flow. Updated high-resolution runs from Météo-France and the next ECMWF cycle will likely refine dew-point and boundary-layer details ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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