**Trader consensus on a 22°C daily minimum in Qingdao on August 29, 2026, aligns with consensus forecasts from regional meteorological models and station observations.** Current conditions feature overcast skies, light rain or drizzle, high humidity near 90%, and northerly winds of 3–5 m/s that limit radiative cooling. Hourly data and agency guidance indicate temperatures fell to the low 20s overnight, with the official minimum expected near 22°C rather than lower values typical of clearer nights. This positioning reflects real-time model agreement and recent observations showing modest diurnal ranges under persistent cloud cover. A sharper drop below 22°C would require faster clearing and stronger cooling than currently indicated, while any upward revision in recorded minima from station data could shift probabilities modestly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日青岛最低气温？
8月29日青岛最低气温？
22°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
23°C <1%
$3,129 交易量
$3,129 交易量
2026-08-29
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
23°C <1%
$3,129 交易量
$3,129 交易量
2026-08-29
20°C or below
$908 交易量
No
21°C
$717 交易量
No
22°C
$784 交易量
Yes
23°C
$121 交易量
No
24°C
$200 交易量
No
25°C
$35 交易量
No
26°C
$25 交易量
No
27°C
$35 交易量
No
28°C
$215 交易量
No
29°C
$35 交易量
No
30°C or higher
$53 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a 22°C daily minimum in Qingdao on August 29, 2026, aligns with consensus forecasts from regional meteorological models and station observations.** Current conditions feature overcast skies, light rain or drizzle, high humidity near 90%, and northerly winds of 3–5 m/s that limit radiative cooling. Hourly data and agency guidance indicate temperatures fell to the low 20s overnight, with the official minimum expected near 22°C rather than lower values typical of clearer nights. This positioning reflects real-time model agreement and recent observations showing modest diurnal ranges under persistent cloud cover. A sharper drop below 22°C would require faster clearing and stronger cooling than currently indicated, while any upward revision in recorded minima from station data could shift probabilities modestly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$3,129结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a 22°C daily minimum in Qingdao on August 29, 2026, aligns with consensus forecasts from regional meteorological models and station observations.** Current conditions feature overcast skies, light rain or drizzle, high humidity near 90%, and northerly winds of 3–5 m/s that limit radiative cooling. Hourly data and agency guidance indicate temperatures fell to the low 20s overnight, with the official minimum expected near 22°C rather than lower values typical of clearer nights. This positioning reflects real-time model agreement and recent observations showing modest diurnal ranges under persistent cloud cover. A sharper drop below 22°C would require faster clearing and stronger cooling than currently indicated, while any upward revision in recorded minima from station data could shift probabilities modestly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,129结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
**Trader consensus on a 22°C daily minimum in Qingdao on August 29, 2026, aligns with consensus forecasts from regional meteorological models and station observations.** Current conditions feature overcast skies, light rain or drizzle, high humidity near 90%, and northerly winds of 3–5 m/s that limit radiative cooling. Hourly data and agency guidance indicate temperatures fell to the low 20s overnight, with the official minimum expected near 22°C rather than lower values typical of clearer nights. This positioning reflects real-time model agreement and recent observations showing modest diurnal ranges under persistent cloud cover. A sharper drop below 22°C would require faster clearing and stronger cooling than currently indicated, while any upward revision in recorded minima from station data could shift probabilities modestly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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