Recent meteorological observations and ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on June 15 will reach 22°C, driven by stable subtropical high-pressure influence, moderate easterly flow, and typical East Asian monsoon transition patterns that suppress stronger cooling. Mid-June climatology shows average lows of 21–23°C, with current surface observations and short-range guidance aligning tightly around this value. Trader consensus at 100% reflects this narrow uncertainty range and proximity to resolution. An unanticipated cold surge or localized heavy precipitation could still shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C at official stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月15日上海最低气温？
6月15日上海最低气温？
22°C 100.0%
17°C或以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$42,668 交易量
$42,668 交易量
2026-06-15
17°C或以下
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
是
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C或以上
否
22°C 100.0%
17°C或以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$42,668 交易量
$42,668 交易量
2026-06-15
17°C或以下
$1,542 交易量
否
18°C
$732 交易量
否
19°C
$3,417 交易量
否
20°C
$4,888 交易量
否
21°C
$2,437 交易量
否
22°C
$3,784 交易量
是
23°C
$15,075 交易量
否
24°C
$6,682 交易量
否
25°C
$2,331 交易量
否
26°C
$996 交易量
否
27°C或以上
$783 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on June 15 will reach 22°C, driven by stable subtropical high-pressure influence, moderate easterly flow, and typical East Asian monsoon transition patterns that suppress stronger cooling. Mid-June climatology shows average lows of 21–23°C, with current surface observations and short-range guidance aligning tightly around this value. Trader consensus at 100% reflects this narrow uncertainty range and proximity to resolution. An unanticipated cold surge or localized heavy precipitation could still shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
交易量
$42,668结束日期
2026-06-15市场开放时间
Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on June 15 will reach 22°C, driven by stable subtropical high-pressure influence, moderate easterly flow, and typical East Asian monsoon transition patterns that suppress stronger cooling. Mid-June climatology shows average lows of 21–23°C, with current surface observations and short-range guidance aligning tightly around this value. Trader consensus at 100% reflects this narrow uncertainty range and proximity to resolution. An unanticipated cold surge or localized heavy precipitation could still shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$42,668结束日期
2026-06-15市场开放时间
Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Recent meteorological observations and ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on June 15 will reach 22°C, driven by stable subtropical high-pressure influence, moderate easterly flow, and typical East Asian monsoon transition patterns that suppress stronger cooling. Mid-June climatology shows average lows of 21–23°C, with current surface observations and short-range guidance aligning tightly around this value. Trader consensus at 100% reflects this narrow uncertainty range and proximity to resolution. An unanticipated cold surge or localized heavy precipitation could still shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C at official stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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