**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature for Shenzhen on September 4, 2026, centered in the mid-20s°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or thunderstorms, and high humidity that limits nocturnal radiative cooling.** Subtropical conditions in early September typically feature overnight lows near 24–26°C when daytime highs reach 28–30°C under northwest winds and elevated dew points around 22–24°C. Multiple sources, including hourly guidance showing temperatures holding above 24°C through the night, support this range, with precipitation (0–40% chance) acting as the key moderator preventing sharper drops. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 24–26°C because small shifts in rain timing or cloud thickness—common uncertainties in short-range forecasts—can easily move the exact minimum by 1–2°C. New model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities as the date approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日深圳最低气温？
9月4日深圳最低气温？
24°C 91%
26°C 91%
21°C 90%
22°C 86%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
20°C或以下
69%
21°C
90%
22°C
86%
23°C
84%
24°C
91%
25°C
46%
26°C
91%
27°C
84%
28°C
9%
29°C
2%
30°C或更高
59%
24°C 91%
26°C 91%
21°C 90%
22°C 86%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
20°C或以下
$0 交易量
69%
21°C
$0 交易量
90%
22°C
$0 交易量
86%
23°C
$0 交易量
84%
24°C
$0 交易量
91%
25°C
$0 交易量
46%
26°C
$0 交易量
91%
27°C
$0 交易量
84%
28°C
$0 交易量
9%
29°C
$0 交易量
2%
30°C或更高
$0 交易量
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature for Shenzhen on September 4, 2026, centered in the mid-20s°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or thunderstorms, and high humidity that limits nocturnal radiative cooling.** Subtropical conditions in early September typically feature overnight lows near 24–26°C when daytime highs reach 28–30°C under northwest winds and elevated dew points around 22–24°C. Multiple sources, including hourly guidance showing temperatures holding above 24°C through the night, support this range, with precipitation (0–40% chance) acting as the key moderator preventing sharper drops. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 24–26°C because small shifts in rain timing or cloud thickness—common uncertainties in short-range forecasts—can easily move the exact minimum by 1–2°C. New model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature for Shenzhen on September 4, 2026, centered in the mid-20s°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or thunderstorms, and high humidity that limits nocturnal radiative cooling.** Subtropical conditions in early September typically feature overnight lows near 24–26°C when daytime highs reach 28–30°C under northwest winds and elevated dew points around 22–24°C. Multiple sources, including hourly guidance showing temperatures holding above 24°C through the night, support this range, with precipitation (0–40% chance) acting as the key moderator preventing sharper drops. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 24–26°C because small shifts in rain timing or cloud thickness—common uncertainties in short-range forecasts—can easily move the exact minimum by 1–2°C. New model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature for Shenzhen on September 4, 2026, centered in the mid-20s°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or thunderstorms, and high humidity that limits nocturnal radiative cooling.** Subtropical conditions in early September typically feature overnight lows near 24–26°C when daytime highs reach 28–30°C under northwest winds and elevated dew points around 22–24°C. Multiple sources, including hourly guidance showing temperatures holding above 24°C through the night, support this range, with precipitation (0–40% chance) acting as the key moderator preventing sharper drops. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 24–26°C because small shifts in rain timing or cloud thickness—common uncertainties in short-range forecasts—can easily move the exact minimum by 1–2°C. New model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities as the date approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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