Current observational data from Tokyo's official weather stations, including those operated by the Japan Meteorological Agency, indicate that the daily minimum has already reached 18°C, aligning with typical mid-June climatology where nighttime lows average 17–20°C under stable high-pressure conditions. Model consensus from regional forecasts shows limited further cooling overnight due to urban heat retention and light winds, locking in this threshold with high confidence. While rare measurement revisions or microclimate variations at specific stations could theoretically alter the recorded low, such shifts remain improbable given multiple corroborating sites and the advanced stage of the diurnal cycle.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月15日东京最低气温?
18°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$16,038 交易量
$16,038 交易量
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$16,038 交易量
$16,038 交易量
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Current observational data from Tokyo's official weather stations, including those operated by the Japan Meteorological Agency, indicate that the daily minimum has already reached 18°C, aligning with typical mid-June climatology where nighttime lows average 17–20°C under stable high-pressure conditions. Model consensus from regional forecasts shows limited further cooling overnight due to urban heat retention and light winds, locking in this threshold with high confidence. While rare measurement revisions or microclimate variations at specific stations could theoretically alter the recorded low, such shifts remain improbable given multiple corroborating sites and the advanced stage of the diurnal cycle.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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