Forecast models from MetService and NIWA indicate an overnight minimum near 8°C for Wellington on August 21, consistent with the seasonal average low of approximately 8°C and near-average winter conditions across the region. Light winds and partly cloudy skies have limited further radiational cooling, while the absence of strong southerly flows or cold-air outbreaks has kept temperatures from dropping into the 6–7°C range. Trader consensus at 98% for 8°C reflects this stable forecast consensus and historical observation patterns at official stations. A late-model shift introducing stronger northerly advection or clearer skies overnight could realistically push the recorded minimum to 9°C or higher, though current guidance shows low probability of such deviation before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月21日惠灵顿的最低温度?
8°C 98%
7°C 3%
6°C 2%
4°C <1%
2°C or below
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
2%
7°C
3%
8°C
98%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C or higher
<1%
8°C 98%
7°C 3%
6°C 2%
4°C <1%
2°C or below
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
2%
7°C
3%
8°C
98%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from MetService and NIWA indicate an overnight minimum near 8°C for Wellington on August 21, consistent with the seasonal average low of approximately 8°C and near-average winter conditions across the region. Light winds and partly cloudy skies have limited further radiational cooling, while the absence of strong southerly flows or cold-air outbreaks has kept temperatures from dropping into the 6–7°C range. Trader consensus at 98% for 8°C reflects this stable forecast consensus and historical observation patterns at official stations. A late-model shift introducing stronger northerly advection or clearer skies overnight could realistically push the recorded minimum to 9°C or higher, though current guidance shows low probability of such deviation before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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