**Forecasts for Wellington on August 23 indicate overnight lows potentially reaching 5–8°C amid a southerly wind shift and clearing skies following northwest flows and rain on the 22nd.** Multiple models show early-morning temperatures dropping to 5–6°C under reduced cloud cover and lighter winds, while persistent marine influence or delayed clearing could hold minima near 8–10°C. This uncertainty in radiational cooling, exact frontal timing, and local topography drives the dispersed market odds, with 5°C or below leading at 31% implied probability as traders weigh the latest ECMWF and GFS runs against typical late-winter baselines of 7–9°C. Updated official guidance from MetService or NHC-equivalent agencies ahead of resolution will likely refine these ranges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日惠灵顿的最低温度？
8月23日惠灵顿的最低温度？
5°C或以下 44%
10°C 29%
11°C 23%
12°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
5°C或以下
44%
6°C
7%
7℃
11%
8°C
13%
9°C
7%
10°C
29%
11°C
23%
12°C
18%
13°C
17%
14°C
8%
15°C或以上
<1%
5°C或以下 44%
10°C 29%
11°C 23%
12°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
5°C或以下
$32 交易量
44%
6°C
$20 交易量
7%
7℃
$20 交易量
11%
8°C
$0 交易量
13%
9°C
$0 交易量
7%
10°C
$0 交易量
29%
11°C
$4 交易量
23%
12°C
$55 交易量
18%
13°C
$27 交易量
17%
14°C
$5 交易量
8%
15°C或以上
$27 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts for Wellington on August 23 indicate overnight lows potentially reaching 5–8°C amid a southerly wind shift and clearing skies following northwest flows and rain on the 22nd.** Multiple models show early-morning temperatures dropping to 5–6°C under reduced cloud cover and lighter winds, while persistent marine influence or delayed clearing could hold minima near 8–10°C. This uncertainty in radiational cooling, exact frontal timing, and local topography drives the dispersed market odds, with 5°C or below leading at 31% implied probability as traders weigh the latest ECMWF and GFS runs against typical late-winter baselines of 7–9°C. Updated official guidance from MetService or NHC-equivalent agencies ahead of resolution will likely refine these ranges.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$189结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts for Wellington on August 23 indicate overnight lows potentially reaching 5–8°C amid a southerly wind shift and clearing skies following northwest flows and rain on the 22nd.** Multiple models show early-morning temperatures dropping to 5–6°C under reduced cloud cover and lighter winds, while persistent marine influence or delayed clearing could hold minima near 8–10°C. This uncertainty in radiational cooling, exact frontal timing, and local topography drives the dispersed market odds, with 5°C or below leading at 31% implied probability as traders weigh the latest ECMWF and GFS runs against typical late-winter baselines of 7–9°C. Updated official guidance from MetService or NHC-equivalent agencies ahead of resolution will likely refine these ranges.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$189结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET**Forecasts for Wellington on August 23 indicate overnight lows potentially reaching 5–8°C amid a southerly wind shift and clearing skies following northwest flows and rain on the 22nd.** Multiple models show early-morning temperatures dropping to 5–6°C under reduced cloud cover and lighter winds, while persistent marine influence or delayed clearing could hold minima near 8–10°C. This uncertainty in radiational cooling, exact frontal timing, and local topography drives the dispersed market odds, with 5°C or below leading at 31% implied probability as traders weigh the latest ECMWF and GFS runs against typical late-winter baselines of 7–9°C. Updated official guidance from MetService or NHC-equivalent agencies ahead of resolution will likely refine these ranges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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