The Massachusetts 9th congressional district's established Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+6 and the incumbent's 56% win in 2024, anchors trader consensus on a Democratic general election victory. Bill Keating holds the seat with strong name recognition, fundraising totals exceeding $300,000 raised, and institutional support across Cape Cod, the South Shore, and New Bedford-area communities. The September 1 Democratic primary against challenger Craig Swallow will select the nominee but preserves party control regardless of outcome. Limited visibility for Republican candidates further reduces crossover potential in this solidly Democratic district. A late national Republican surge, primary-related controversy, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow margins, though structural barriers make shifts beyond low single digits improbable before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$20,726 交易量
$20,726 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$20,726 交易量
$20,726 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$6,824 交易量
94%
共和党
$13,903 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 9th congressional district's established Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+6 and the incumbent's 56% win in 2024, anchors trader consensus on a Democratic general election victory. Bill Keating holds the seat with strong name recognition, fundraising totals exceeding $300,000 raised, and institutional support across Cape Cod, the South Shore, and New Bedford-area communities. The September 1 Democratic primary against challenger Craig Swallow will select the nominee but preserves party control regardless of outcome. Limited visibility for Republican candidates further reduces crossover potential in this solidly Democratic district. A late national Republican surge, primary-related controversy, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow margins, though structural barriers make shifts beyond low single digits improbable before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$20,726结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 9th congressional district's established Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+6 and the incumbent's 56% win in 2024, anchors trader consensus on a Democratic general election victory. Bill Keating holds the seat with strong name recognition, fundraising totals exceeding $300,000 raised, and institutional support across Cape Cod, the South Shore, and New Bedford-area communities. The September 1 Democratic primary against challenger Craig Swallow will select the nominee but preserves party control regardless of outcome. Limited visibility for Republican candidates further reduces crossover potential in this solidly Democratic district. A late national Republican surge, primary-related controversy, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow margins, though structural barriers make shifts beyond low single digits improbable before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$20,726结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Massachusetts 9th congressional district's established Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+6 and the incumbent's 56% win in 2024, anchors trader consensus on a Democratic general election victory. Bill Keating holds the seat with strong name recognition, fundraising totals exceeding $300,000 raised, and institutional support across Cape Cod, the South Shore, and New Bedford-area communities. The September 1 Democratic primary against challenger Craig Swallow will select the nominee but preserves party control regardless of outcome. Limited visibility for Republican candidates further reduces crossover potential in this solidly Democratic district. A late national Republican surge, primary-related controversy, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow margins, though structural barriers make shifts beyond low single digits improbable before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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