Minnesota's 4th Congressional District, encompassing much of Saint Paul and surrounding Ramsey County areas, has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles due to its urban-suburban demographics and voting patterns. Incumbent Betty McCollum, a long-serving Democrat, secured her party's nomination in the August 11, 2026 primary with a decisive margin over her challenger. Nonpartisan rating firms including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Safe Democratic, reflecting the absence of competitive Republican opposition and limited polling indicating any shift. Trader consensus in this market aligns with these structural factors. Potential developments that could narrow the gap include a national political wave favoring Republicans, an unforeseen personal or ethical issue affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout in Republican-leaning pockets of the district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$21,271 交易量
$21,271 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$21,271 交易量
$21,271 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$3,902 交易量
94%
共和党
$17,370 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 4th Congressional District, encompassing much of Saint Paul and surrounding Ramsey County areas, has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles due to its urban-suburban demographics and voting patterns. Incumbent Betty McCollum, a long-serving Democrat, secured her party's nomination in the August 11, 2026 primary with a decisive margin over her challenger. Nonpartisan rating firms including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Safe Democratic, reflecting the absence of competitive Republican opposition and limited polling indicating any shift. Trader consensus in this market aligns with these structural factors. Potential developments that could narrow the gap include a national political wave favoring Republicans, an unforeseen personal or ethical issue affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout in Republican-leaning pockets of the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$21,271结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 4th Congressional District, encompassing much of Saint Paul and surrounding Ramsey County areas, has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles due to its urban-suburban demographics and voting patterns. Incumbent Betty McCollum, a long-serving Democrat, secured her party's nomination in the August 11, 2026 primary with a decisive margin over her challenger. Nonpartisan rating firms including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Safe Democratic, reflecting the absence of competitive Republican opposition and limited polling indicating any shift. Trader consensus in this market aligns with these structural factors. Potential developments that could narrow the gap include a national political wave favoring Republicans, an unforeseen personal or ethical issue affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout in Republican-leaning pockets of the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$21,271结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 4th Congressional District, encompassing much of Saint Paul and surrounding Ramsey County areas, has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles due to its urban-suburban demographics and voting patterns. Incumbent Betty McCollum, a long-serving Democrat, secured her party's nomination in the August 11, 2026 primary with a decisive margin over her challenger. Nonpartisan rating firms including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Safe Democratic, reflecting the absence of competitive Republican opposition and limited polling indicating any shift. Trader consensus in this market aligns with these structural factors. Potential developments that could narrow the gap include a national political wave favoring Republicans, an unforeseen personal or ethical issue affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout in Republican-leaning pockets of the district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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