Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean, her status as the sitting governor, and sustained double-digit leads in independent polling averages. Recent developments include her securing endorsements from major firefighter unions on the 25th anniversary of 9/11 and ongoing focus on affordability measures such as inflation refunds and child care expansion, which align with voter priorities on cost of living. Republican challenger Bruce Blakeman, the Nassau County executive, has gained some suburban and upstate support through emphasis on crime and immigration enforcement but trails significantly statewide. Trader consensus in this prediction market reflects these fundamentals. Potential shifts could arise from late-campaign economic downturns, major scandals affecting either candidate, or unusually high Republican turnout in key regions outside New York City.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$114,987 交易量
$114,987 交易量
2026-11-02
凯茜·霍楚尔（民主党）
95%
布鲁斯·布莱克曼（共和党）
7%
$114,987 交易量
$114,987 交易量
2026-11-02
凯茜·霍楚尔（民主党）
$49,735 交易量
95%
布鲁斯·布莱克曼（共和党）
$65,253 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean, her status as the sitting governor, and sustained double-digit leads in independent polling averages. Recent developments include her securing endorsements from major firefighter unions on the 25th anniversary of 9/11 and ongoing focus on affordability measures such as inflation refunds and child care expansion, which align with voter priorities on cost of living. Republican challenger Bruce Blakeman, the Nassau County executive, has gained some suburban and upstate support through emphasis on crime and immigration enforcement but trails significantly statewide. Trader consensus in this prediction market reflects these fundamentals. Potential shifts could arise from late-campaign economic downturns, major scandals affecting either candidate, or unusually high Republican turnout in key regions outside New York City.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
交易量
$114,987结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean, her status as the sitting governor, and sustained double-digit leads in independent polling averages. Recent developments include her securing endorsements from major firefighter unions on the 25th anniversary of 9/11 and ongoing focus on affordability measures such as inflation refunds and child care expansion, which align with voter priorities on cost of living. Republican challenger Bruce Blakeman, the Nassau County executive, has gained some suburban and upstate support through emphasis on crime and immigration enforcement but trails significantly statewide. Trader consensus in this prediction market reflects these fundamentals. Potential shifts could arise from late-campaign economic downturns, major scandals affecting either candidate, or unusually high Republican turnout in key regions outside New York City.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$114,987结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETIncumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean, her status as the sitting governor, and sustained double-digit leads in independent polling averages. Recent developments include her securing endorsements from major firefighter unions on the 25th anniversary of 9/11 and ongoing focus on affordability measures such as inflation refunds and child care expansion, which align with voter priorities on cost of living. Republican challenger Bruce Blakeman, the Nassau County executive, has gained some suburban and upstate support through emphasis on crime and immigration enforcement but trails significantly statewide. Trader consensus in this prediction market reflects these fundamentals. Potential shifts could arise from late-campaign economic downturns, major scandals affecting either candidate, or unusually high Republican turnout in key regions outside New York City.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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