Keiko Fujimori leads Peru's 2026 presidential first-round vote at around 17% with over 91% of ONPE actas counted as of April 15, positioning her as the clear frontrunner for the June 7 runoff and driving trader consensus to 63.5% odds for ultimate victory amid a fragmented field of 35 candidates. A tight race for second sees Rafael López Aliaga at 11.9% (21.5% market odds) trailing Roberto Sánchez Palomino's 12.1% (16% odds), as rural tallies boost the leftist congressman while urban votes favored right-wingers early. Logistical delays extended voting to April 13, sparking fraud claims and protests from López Aliaga's camp, heightening uncertainty over final second-place confirmation by the National Jury of Elections.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于凯科·藤森 65%
拉斐尔·洛佩斯·阿利亚加 18%
罗伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米诺 17.3%
卡洛斯·阿尔瓦雷斯 <1%
$32,198,750 交易量
$32,198,750 交易量

凯科·藤森
65%

拉斐尔·洛佩斯·阿利亚加
18%

罗伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米诺
17%

卡洛斯·阿尔瓦雷斯
<1%

塞萨尔·阿库尼亚
<1%

弗拉基米尔·塞龙
<1%

罗伯托·奇亚布拉
<1%

恩里克·巴尔德拉马
<1%

梅西亚斯·格瓦拉
<1%

豪尔赫·涅托
<1%

马里奥·比斯卡拉
<1%

何塞·卢纳
<1%

何塞·威廉斯
<1%

菲奥雷拉·莫利内利
<1%

费尔南多·奥利韦拉
<1%

约尼·莱斯卡诺
<1%

阿方索·洛佩斯·查乌
<1%

乔治·福赛思
<1%

里卡多·贝尔蒙特
<1%

卡洛斯·埃斯帕
<1%

拉斐尔·贝劳恩德·略萨
<1%

玛丽索尔·佩雷斯·特略
<1%

沃尔夫冈·格罗佐
<1%
凯科·藤森 65%
拉斐尔·洛佩斯·阿利亚加 18%
罗伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米诺 17.3%
卡洛斯·阿尔瓦雷斯 <1%
$32,198,750 交易量
$32,198,750 交易量

凯科·藤森
65%

拉斐尔·洛佩斯·阿利亚加
18%

罗伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米诺
17%

卡洛斯·阿尔瓦雷斯
<1%

塞萨尔·阿库尼亚
<1%

弗拉基米尔·塞龙
<1%

罗伯托·奇亚布拉
<1%

恩里克·巴尔德拉马
<1%

梅西亚斯·格瓦拉
<1%

豪尔赫·涅托
<1%

马里奥·比斯卡拉
<1%

何塞·卢纳
<1%

何塞·威廉斯
<1%

菲奥雷拉·莫利内利
<1%

费尔南多·奥利韦拉
<1%

约尼·莱斯卡诺
<1%

阿方索·洛佩斯·查乌
<1%

乔治·福赛思
<1%

里卡多·贝尔蒙特
<1%

卡洛斯·埃斯帕
<1%

拉斐尔·贝劳恩德·略萨
<1%

玛丽索尔·佩雷斯·特略
<1%

沃尔夫冈·格罗佐
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
市场开放时间: Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Keiko Fujimori leads Peru's 2026 presidential first-round vote at around 17% with over 91% of ONPE actas counted as of April 15, positioning her as the clear frontrunner for the June 7 runoff and driving trader consensus to 63.5% odds for ultimate victory amid a fragmented field of 35 candidates. A tight race for second sees Rafael López Aliaga at 11.9% (21.5% market odds) trailing Roberto Sánchez Palomino's 12.1% (16% odds), as rural tallies boost the leftist congressman while urban votes favored right-wingers early. Logistical delays extended voting to April 13, sparking fraud claims and protests from López Aliaga's camp, heightening uncertainty over final second-place confirmation by the National Jury of Elections.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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