Following the collapse of the first direct US-Iran peace talks in Islamabad on April 11 after 21 hours of negotiations, the US imposed a naval blockade on Iranian ports and the Strait of Hormuz, escalating tensions as a two-week ceasefire nears expiration. Pakistan, affirmed by the White House as the sole mediator, is leading backchannel diplomacy to host a second round potentially next week, with President Trump signaling resumption within days despite sticking points like nuclear enrichment and shipping access. Ongoing message exchanges via Pakistani intermediaries sustain momentum, informing trader consensus on the timing of the next in-person diplomatic meeting authorized for US-Iran relations negotiations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,217,109 交易量
2026-04-30
4月16日
1%
4月17日
3%
4月18日
7%
4月22日
68%
4月30日
89%
$1,217,109 交易量
4月16日
$104,875 交易量
1%
4月17日
$62,398 交易量
3%
4月18日
$612,631 交易量
7%
4月22日
$236,582 交易量
68%
4月30日
$130,099 交易量
89%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Following the collapse of the first direct US-Iran peace talks in Islamabad on April 11 after 21 hours of negotiations, the US imposed a naval blockade on Iranian ports and the Strait of Hormuz, escalating tensions as a two-week ceasefire nears expiration. Pakistan, affirmed by the White House as the sole mediator, is leading backchannel diplomacy to host a second round potentially next week, with President Trump signaling resumption within days despite sticking points like nuclear enrichment and shipping access. Ongoing message exchanges via Pakistani intermediaries sustain momentum, informing trader consensus on the timing of the next in-person diplomatic meeting authorized for US-Iran relations negotiations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Apr 12, 2026, 11:47 AM ET
交易量
$1,217,109结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 12, 2026, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Following the collapse of the first direct US-Iran peace talks in Islamabad on April 11 after 21 hours of negotiations, the US imposed a naval blockade on Iranian ports and the Strait of Hormuz, escalating tensions as a two-week ceasefire nears expiration. Pakistan, affirmed by the White House as the sole mediator, is leading backchannel diplomacy to host a second round potentially next week, with President Trump signaling resumption within days despite sticking points like nuclear enrichment and shipping access. Ongoing message exchanges via Pakistani intermediaries sustain momentum, informing trader consensus on the timing of the next in-person diplomatic meeting authorized for US-Iran relations negotiations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,217,109结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 12, 2026, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Following the collapse of the first direct US-Iran peace talks in Islamabad on April 11 after 21 hours of negotiations, the US imposed a naval blockade on Iranian ports and the Strait of Hormuz, escalating tensions as a two-week ceasefire nears expiration. Pakistan, affirmed by the White House as the sole mediator, is leading backchannel diplomacy to host a second round potentially next week, with President Trump signaling resumption within days despite sticking points like nuclear enrichment and shipping access. Ongoing message exchanges via Pakistani intermediaries sustain momentum, informing trader consensus on the timing of the next in-person diplomatic meeting authorized for US-Iran relations negotiations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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