Diplomats are actively arranging a second round of direct US-Iran talks following inconclusive marathon negotiations in Islamabad on April 12, where US Vice President JD Vance confirmed no agreement was reached on ending the war. President Trump stated on April 15 that discussions could resume in Pakistan within days, reflecting backchannel progress amid the US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and Iran's retaliatory actions. This momentum, including potential involvement of envoys like Steve Witkoff, drives trader consensus toward near-term diplomatic engagement, though Iranian rejections of prior ceasefire plans underscore persistent hurdles. Key watchpoints include venue confirmation and any escalation signals before month's end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,195,131 交易量
2026-04-30
4月16日
1%
4月17日
3%
4月18日
8%
4月22日
70%
4月30日
89%
$1,195,131 交易量
4月16日
$102,116 交易量
1%
4月17日
$52,996 交易量
3%
4月18日
$602,429 交易量
8%
4月22日
$234,284 交易量
70%
4月30日
$128,930 交易量
89%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Diplomats are actively arranging a second round of direct US-Iran talks following inconclusive marathon negotiations in Islamabad on April 12, where US Vice President JD Vance confirmed no agreement was reached on ending the war. President Trump stated on April 15 that discussions could resume in Pakistan within days, reflecting backchannel progress amid the US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and Iran's retaliatory actions. This momentum, including potential involvement of envoys like Steve Witkoff, drives trader consensus toward near-term diplomatic engagement, though Iranian rejections of prior ceasefire plans underscore persistent hurdles. Key watchpoints include venue confirmation and any escalation signals before month's end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Apr 12, 2026, 2:18 PM ET
交易量
$1,195,131结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 12, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Diplomats are actively arranging a second round of direct US-Iran talks following inconclusive marathon negotiations in Islamabad on April 12, where US Vice President JD Vance confirmed no agreement was reached on ending the war. President Trump stated on April 15 that discussions could resume in Pakistan within days, reflecting backchannel progress amid the US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and Iran's retaliatory actions. This momentum, including potential involvement of envoys like Steve Witkoff, drives trader consensus toward near-term diplomatic engagement, though Iranian rejections of prior ceasefire plans underscore persistent hurdles. Key watchpoints include venue confirmation and any escalation signals before month's end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,195,131结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 12, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Diplomats are actively arranging a second round of direct US-Iran talks following inconclusive marathon negotiations in Islamabad on April 12, where US Vice President JD Vance confirmed no agreement was reached on ending the war. President Trump stated on April 15 that discussions could resume in Pakistan within days, reflecting backchannel progress amid the US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and Iran's retaliatory actions. This momentum, including potential involvement of envoys like Steve Witkoff, drives trader consensus toward near-term diplomatic engagement, though Iranian rejections of prior ceasefire plans underscore persistent hurdles. Key watchpoints include venue confirmation and any escalation signals before month's end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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