Following the first direct high-level US-Iran talks in Islamabad on April 11-12, mediated by Pakistan, which ended without agreement after 21 hours of negotiations, diplomats are now arranging a second round amid a US blockade of Iranian ports in the Strait of Hormuz and a fragile two-week ceasefire set to expire soon. US Vice President JD Vance cited Iran's refusal of terms, while Tehran downplayed expectations for an immediate deal; key figures include US envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff alongside Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. President Trump signaled potential resumption within days, with sticking points over ceasefire extension, nuclear curbs, and de-escalation. Upcoming mediation efforts could tip diplomatic momentum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,085,101 交易量
2026-04-30
4月15日
<1%
4月16日
1%
4月17日
5%
4月18日
13%
4月22日
69%
4月30日
90%
$1,085,101 交易量
4月15日
$74,657 交易量
<1%
4月16日
$86,875 交易量
1%
4月17日
$40,241 交易量
5%
4月18日
$542,146 交易量
13%
4月22日
$225,701 交易量
69%
4月30日
$115,638 交易量
90%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Following the first direct high-level US-Iran talks in Islamabad on April 11-12, mediated by Pakistan, which ended without agreement after 21 hours of negotiations, diplomats are now arranging a second round amid a US blockade of Iranian ports in the Strait of Hormuz and a fragile two-week ceasefire set to expire soon. US Vice President JD Vance cited Iran's refusal of terms, while Tehran downplayed expectations for an immediate deal; key figures include US envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff alongside Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. President Trump signaled potential resumption within days, with sticking points over ceasefire extension, nuclear curbs, and de-escalation. Upcoming mediation efforts could tip diplomatic momentum.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Apr 12, 2026, 2:18 PM ET
交易量
$1,085,101结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 12, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Following the first direct high-level US-Iran talks in Islamabad on April 11-12, mediated by Pakistan, which ended without agreement after 21 hours of negotiations, diplomats are now arranging a second round amid a US blockade of Iranian ports in the Strait of Hormuz and a fragile two-week ceasefire set to expire soon. US Vice President JD Vance cited Iran's refusal of terms, while Tehran downplayed expectations for an immediate deal; key figures include US envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff alongside Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. President Trump signaled potential resumption within days, with sticking points over ceasefire extension, nuclear curbs, and de-escalation. Upcoming mediation efforts could tip diplomatic momentum.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,085,101结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 12, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Following the first direct high-level US-Iran talks in Islamabad on April 11-12, mediated by Pakistan, which ended without agreement after 21 hours of negotiations, diplomats are now arranging a second round amid a US blockade of Iranian ports in the Strait of Hormuz and a fragile two-week ceasefire set to expire soon. US Vice President JD Vance cited Iran's refusal of terms, while Tehran downplayed expectations for an immediate deal; key figures include US envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff alongside Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. President Trump signaled potential resumption within days, with sticking points over ceasefire extension, nuclear curbs, and de-escalation. Upcoming mediation efforts could tip diplomatic momentum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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