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哪些国家将在3月31日前加入和平委员会?

Market icon

哪些国家将在3月31日前加入和平委员会?

$852,106 交易量

Feb 28, 2026
Polymarket

$852,106 交易量

Polymarket

印度

$43,320 交易量

6%

巴西

$14,353 交易量

5%

乌克兰

$53,972 交易量

5%

俄罗斯

$250,723 交易量

5%

意大利

$37,959 交易量

3%

德国

$46,632 交易量

3%

英国

$43,861 交易量

2%

荷兰

$9,764 交易量

2%

瑞士

$12,064 交易量

2%

瑞典

$13,032 交易量

2%

法国

$48,010 交易量

2%

巴勒斯坦

$0 交易量

2%

比利时

$0 交易量

2%

挪威

$39,101 交易量

1%

丹麦

$0 交易量

1%

芬兰

$0 交易量

1%

西班牙

$43,258 交易量

1%

中国

$93,272 交易量

1%

Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-names-rubio-blair-kushner-gaza-board-under-trumps-plan-2026-01-17/).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:

- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.

- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).

Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.

Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.

Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$852,106
结束日期
Mar 31, 2026
市场开放时间
Jan 20, 2026, 10:13 PM ET
Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-names-rubio-blair-kushner-gaza-board-under-trumps-plan-2026-01-17/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met: - That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state. - Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace). Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count. Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join. Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"哪些国家将在3月31日前加入和平委员会?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 21 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"以色列",概率为 100%,其次是"土耳其",概率为 100%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"哪些国家将在3月31日前加入和平委员会?"已产生 $852.1K 的总交易量(自Jan 21, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"哪些国家将在3月31日前加入和平委员会?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 21 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"哪些国家将在3月31日前加入和平委员会?"的当前领先者是"以色列",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"土耳其",概率为 100%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"哪些国家将在3月31日前加入和平委员会?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。