President Trump's April 12 social media attacks on Pope Leo XIV—calling the pontiff weak on crime and detrimental to foreign policy amid criticism of U.S. actions in the Iran war—have ignited global backlash from Catholic leaders and drawn scrutiny over potential political fallout for Republicans ahead of midterms. This fresh escalation follows recent rants labeling former MAGA allies "losers" and expletive threats against Iran, underscoring his pattern of targeting critics via Truth Social and speeches. Traders price frequent past targets like Joe Biden as near-certainties per market consensus, while weighing odds on newer foes like the Pope. Upcoming White House press conferences and addresses through April 30 could feature further public remarks resolving the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$52,984 交易量
2026-04-30
Joe Biden
98%
Keir Starmer
63%
Barack Obama
64%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
49%
Pope Leo XIV
31%
Megyn Kelly
29%
Tucker Carlson
28%
Alex Jones
15%
Pam Bondi
8%
Benjamin Netanyahu
6%
Viktor Orbán
5%
Elon Musk
4%
Vladimir Putin
3%
J.D. Vance
2%
Xi Jinping
2%
Melania Trump
1%
Candace Owens
43%
$52,984 交易量
Joe Biden
$22,442 交易量
98%
Keir Starmer
$40 交易量
63%
Barack Obama
$1,337 交易量
64%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
$167 交易量
49%
Pope Leo XIV
$1,473 交易量
31%
Megyn Kelly
$0 交易量
29%
Tucker Carlson
$476 交易量
28%
Alex Jones
$1,314 交易量
15%
Pam Bondi
$438 交易量
8%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$5,956 交易量
6%
Viktor Orbán
$3,051 交易量
5%
Elon Musk
$817 交易量
4%
Vladimir Putin
$1,438 交易量
3%
J.D. Vance
$3,102 交易量
2%
Xi Jinping
$5,761 交易量
2%
Melania Trump
$5,124 交易量
1%
Candace Owens
$47 交易量
43%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's April 12 social media attacks on Pope Leo XIV—calling the pontiff weak on crime and detrimental to foreign policy amid criticism of U.S. actions in the Iran war—have ignited global backlash from Catholic leaders and drawn scrutiny over potential political fallout for Republicans ahead of midterms. This fresh escalation follows recent rants labeling former MAGA allies "losers" and expletive threats against Iran, underscoring his pattern of targeting critics via Truth Social and speeches. Traders price frequent past targets like Joe Biden as near-certainties per market consensus, while weighing odds on newer foes like the Pope. Upcoming White House press conferences and addresses through April 30 could feature further public remarks resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Apr 13, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
交易量
$52,984结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's April 12 social media attacks on Pope Leo XIV—calling the pontiff weak on crime and detrimental to foreign policy amid criticism of U.S. actions in the Iran war—have ignited global backlash from Catholic leaders and drawn scrutiny over potential political fallout for Republicans ahead of midterms. This fresh escalation follows recent rants labeling former MAGA allies "losers" and expletive threats against Iran, underscoring his pattern of targeting critics via Truth Social and speeches. Traders price frequent past targets like Joe Biden as near-certainties per market consensus, while weighing odds on newer foes like the Pope. Upcoming White House press conferences and addresses through April 30 could feature further public remarks resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$52,984结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's April 12 social media attacks on Pope Leo XIV—calling the pontiff weak on crime and detrimental to foreign policy amid criticism of U.S. actions in the Iran war—have ignited global backlash from Catholic leaders and drawn scrutiny over potential political fallout for Republicans ahead of midterms. This fresh escalation follows recent rants labeling former MAGA allies "losers" and expletive threats against Iran, underscoring his pattern of targeting critics via Truth Social and speeches. Traders price frequent past targets like Joe Biden as near-certainties per market consensus, while weighing odds on newer foes like the Pope. Upcoming White House press conferences and addresses through April 30 could feature further public remarks resolving the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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