Bipartisan opposition from labor unions, business groups, education advocates, and figures across party lines has coalesced against Michigan's automatic Proposal 1, which asks voters on November 3, 2026, whether to convene a constitutional convention for general revision. This builds on repeated historical rejections in 1978, 1994, and 2010 by wide margins, with organized campaigns highlighting risks to established provisions on education, labor, and other areas through delegate-driven processes. Recent polls show plurality yes support but substantial undecideds, yet trader consensus at 96.1% No reflects the entrenched pattern of voter caution and active resistance. Late developments such as major shifts in turnout, surprise endorsements, or unforeseen campaign developments could still narrow the outcome before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
4% 概率
最新
最新
2026-11-02
是
4% 概率
最新
最新
2026-11-02
Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).Bipartisan opposition from labor unions, business groups, education advocates, and figures across party lines has coalesced against Michigan's automatic Proposal 1, which asks voters on November 3, 2026, whether to convene a constitutional convention for general revision. This builds on repeated historical rejections in 1978, 1994, and 2010 by wide margins, with organized campaigns highlighting risks to established provisions on education, labor, and other areas through delegate-driven processes. Recent polls show plurality yes support but substantial undecideds, yet trader consensus at 96.1% No reflects the entrenched pattern of voter caution and active resistance. Late developments such as major shifts in turnout, surprise endorsements, or unforeseen campaign developments could still narrow the outcome before election day.
Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
市场开放时间： Mar 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
交易量
$7,504结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Mar 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ETMichigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).Bipartisan opposition from labor unions, business groups, education advocates, and figures across party lines has coalesced against Michigan's automatic Proposal 1, which asks voters on November 3, 2026, whether to convene a constitutional convention for general revision. This builds on repeated historical rejections in 1978, 1994, and 2010 by wide margins, with organized campaigns highlighting risks to established provisions on education, labor, and other areas through delegate-driven processes. Recent polls show plurality yes support but substantial undecideds, yet trader consensus at 96.1% No reflects the entrenched pattern of voter caution and active resistance. Late developments such as major shifts in turnout, surprise endorsements, or unforeseen campaign developments could still narrow the outcome before election day.
Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
交易量
$7,504结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Mar 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ETBipartisan opposition from labor unions, business groups, education advocates, and figures across party lines has coalesced against Michigan's automatic Proposal 1, which asks voters on November 3, 2026, whether to convene a constitutional convention for general revision. This builds on repeated historical rejections in 1978, 1994, and 2010 by wide margins, with organized campaigns highlighting risks to established provisions on education, labor, and other areas through delegate-driven processes. Recent polls show plurality yes support but substantial undecideds, yet trader consensus at 96.1% No reflects the entrenched pattern of voter caution and active resistance. Late developments such as major shifts in turnout, surprise endorsements, or unforeseen campaign developments could still narrow the outcome before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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