Rebel groups including the Azawad Liberation Front and JNIM have conducted coordinated offensives since April 2026, seizing Kidal, parts of the Gao region, and other northern towns while announcing intent to take Gao city itself. Malian forces, supported by Russia's Africa Corps, have responded with counteroperations, including the July retaking of Anefis and precision strikes following the July 18 convoy ambush north of Gao. Army statements emphasize retained control over key urban centers and supply routes despite insurgent gains. These dynamics, combined with the junta's focus on defending strategic northern hubs through the remainder of the year, underpin trader consensus that full rebel capture of Gao by December 31 remains improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
最新
最新
2026-12-31
是
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if anti-government militant groups capture Gao (https://maps.app.goo.gl/FtqiU2uJhZ1buGgn7) by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if anti-government militant groups have established military control over the "Mosquée Koweït مسجد" (https://maps.app.goo.gl/9kHdjxTue43yCFky5) by the resolution date.
If anti-government militant groups come into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants anti-government militant groups de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once anti-government militant groups capture the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that anti-government militant groups have captured the specified point.Rebel groups including the Azawad Liberation Front and JNIM have conducted coordinated offensives since April 2026, seizing Kidal, parts of the Gao region, and other northern towns while announcing intent to take Gao city itself. Malian forces, supported by Russia's Africa Corps, have responded with counteroperations, including the July retaking of Anefis and precision strikes following the July 18 convoy ambush north of Gao. Army statements emphasize retained control over key urban centers and supply routes despite insurgent gains. These dynamics, combined with the junta's focus on defending strategic northern hubs through the remainder of the year, underpin trader consensus that full rebel capture of Gao by December 31 remains improbable.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if anti-government militant groups capture Gao (https://maps.app.goo.gl/FtqiU2uJhZ1buGgn7) by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if anti-government militant groups have established military control over the "Mosquée Koweït مسجد" (https://maps.app.goo.gl/9kHdjxTue43yCFky5) by the resolution date.
If anti-government militant groups come into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants anti-government militant groups de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once anti-government militant groups capture the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that anti-government militant groups have captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if anti-government militant groups have established military control over the "Mosquée Koweït مسجد" (https://maps.app.goo.gl/9kHdjxTue43yCFky5) by the resolution date.
If anti-government militant groups come into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants anti-government militant groups de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once anti-government militant groups capture the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that anti-government militant groups have captured the specified point.
市场开放时间： Jul 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
交易量
$864结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if anti-government militant groups capture Gao (https://maps.app.goo.gl/FtqiU2uJhZ1buGgn7) by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if anti-government militant groups have established military control over the "Mosquée Koweït مسجد" (https://maps.app.goo.gl/9kHdjxTue43yCFky5) by the resolution date.
If anti-government militant groups come into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants anti-government militant groups de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once anti-government militant groups capture the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that anti-government militant groups have captured the specified point.Rebel groups including the Azawad Liberation Front and JNIM have conducted coordinated offensives since April 2026, seizing Kidal, parts of the Gao region, and other northern towns while announcing intent to take Gao city itself. Malian forces, supported by Russia's Africa Corps, have responded with counteroperations, including the July retaking of Anefis and precision strikes following the July 18 convoy ambush north of Gao. Army statements emphasize retained control over key urban centers and supply routes despite insurgent gains. These dynamics, combined with the junta's focus on defending strategic northern hubs through the remainder of the year, underpin trader consensus that full rebel capture of Gao by December 31 remains improbable.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if anti-government militant groups capture Gao (https://maps.app.goo.gl/FtqiU2uJhZ1buGgn7) by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if anti-government militant groups have established military control over the "Mosquée Koweït مسجد" (https://maps.app.goo.gl/9kHdjxTue43yCFky5) by the resolution date.
If anti-government militant groups come into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants anti-government militant groups de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once anti-government militant groups capture the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that anti-government militant groups have captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if anti-government militant groups have established military control over the "Mosquée Koweït مسجد" (https://maps.app.goo.gl/9kHdjxTue43yCFky5) by the resolution date.
If anti-government militant groups come into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants anti-government militant groups de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once anti-government militant groups capture the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that anti-government militant groups have captured the specified point.
交易量
$864结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Rebel groups including the Azawad Liberation Front and JNIM have conducted coordinated offensives since April 2026, seizing Kidal, parts of the Gao region, and other northern towns while announcing intent to take Gao city itself. Malian forces, supported by Russia's Africa Corps, have responded with counteroperations, including the July retaking of Anefis and precision strikes following the July 18 convoy ambush north of Gao. Army statements emphasize retained control over key urban centers and supply routes despite insurgent gains. These dynamics, combined with the junta's focus on defending strategic northern hubs through the remainder of the year, underpin trader consensus that full rebel capture of Gao by December 31 remains improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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