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政治·特朗普

哈格岛石油码头会受到……的袭击吗？

Market icon
政治·特朗普

哈格岛石油码头会受到……的袭击吗？

3月 31

3月 31

$1,965,145 交易量

2026-04-30
Polymarket

$1,965,145 交易量

Polymarket
赫格岛石油码头会在4月15日前被袭击吗？ icon

4月15日

$784,788 交易量

<1%

哈格岛石油终端会在4月30日前被袭击吗？ icon

4月30日

$430,062 交易量

8%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike between February 28 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.US airstrikes targeted over 50 military sites on Iran's Kharg Island oil export hub on April 7, including radars, air defenses, and docks, but US officials confirmed no damage to the critical oil terminal handling 90% of Tehran's crude exports. This follows similar March strikes amid escalating US-Iran tensions over Strait of Hormuz disruptions and President Trump's deadlines for de-escalation. Traders weigh low odds of a direct hit on oil infrastructure due to global energy market risks, despite threats of seizure or blockade, with no verified strikes on the terminal in the past 30 days. Upcoming diplomatic talks or retaliatory actions could shift dynamics before April 30 resolution windows.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation.

Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,965,145
结束日期
2026-03-31
市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 4:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike between February 28 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.US airstrikes targeted over 50 military sites on Iran's Kharg Island oil export hub on April 7, including radars, air defenses, and docks, but US officials confirmed no damage to the critical oil terminal handling 90% of Tehran's crude exports. This follows similar March strikes amid escalating US-Iran tensions over Strait of Hormuz disruptions and President Trump's deadlines for de-escalation. Traders weigh low odds of a direct hit on oil infrastructure due to global energy market risks, despite threats of seizure or blockade, with no verified strikes on the terminal in the past 30 days. Upcoming diplomatic talks or retaliatory actions could shift dynamics before April 30 resolution windows.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation.

Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,965,145
结束日期
2026-03-31
市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 4:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"哈格岛石油码头会受到……的袭击吗？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 3 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"4月30日"，概率为 8%，其次是"4月15日"，概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 8¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 8%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"哈格岛石油码头会受到……的袭击吗？"已产生 $2 million 的总交易量（自Feb 28, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"哈格岛石油码头会受到……的袭击吗？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 3 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

这是一个非常开放的市场。"哈格岛石油码头会受到……的袭击吗？"的当前领先者是"4月30日"，仅有 8%，"4月15日"紧随其后为 0%。由于没有任何结果占据明显优势，交易者认为这高度不确定，可能带来独特的交易机会。这些赔率实时更新，请将本页加入书签。

"哈格岛石油码头会受到……的袭击吗？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。