President Trump's recent Truth Social posts attacking Pope Leo XIV—labeling him "weak" and claiming undue credit for his papacy amid disputes over U.S.-Israeli military actions against Iran—exemplify the frequent public insults that drive trader consensus in this market. Over the past 48 hours, Trump escalated with renewed criticism of the pope and Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni for siding with him, sparking backlash from Catholic leaders and allies. These developments, following earlier barbs at figures like French President Macron, underscore his pattern of combative rhetoric on social media and at events like White House lunches. Traders monitor upcoming press conferences and rallies for similar statements, with resolution hinging on verifiable public insults before the market deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$135,733 交易量
2026-04-15
4月16日
92%
4月17日
91%
4月18日
82%
4月19日
70%
4月20日
73%
4月21日
77%
4月22日
81%
4月23日
86%
4月24日
81%
4月25日
83%
4月26日
70%
4月27日
79%
4月28日
71%
4月29日
81%
4月30日
82%
$135,733 交易量
4月16日
$4,101 交易量
92%
4月17日
$7,770 交易量
91%
4月18日
$4,674 交易量
82%
4月19日
$248 交易量
70%
4月20日
$927 交易量
73%
4月21日
$6,065 交易量
77%
4月22日
$3,113 交易量
81%
4月23日
$7,676 交易量
86%
4月24日
$5,872 交易量
81%
4月25日
$4,898 交易量
83%
4月26日
$2,220 交易量
70%
4月27日
$5,907 交易量
79%
4月28日
$394 交易量
71%
4月29日
$3,608 交易量
81%
4月30日
$441 交易量
82%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's recent Truth Social posts attacking Pope Leo XIV—labeling him "weak" and claiming undue credit for his papacy amid disputes over U.S.-Israeli military actions against Iran—exemplify the frequent public insults that drive trader consensus in this market. Over the past 48 hours, Trump escalated with renewed criticism of the pope and Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni for siding with him, sparking backlash from Catholic leaders and allies. These developments, following earlier barbs at figures like French President Macron, underscore his pattern of combative rhetoric on social media and at events like White House lunches. Traders monitor upcoming press conferences and rallies for similar statements, with resolution hinging on verifiable public insults before the market deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Apr 10, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
交易量
$135,733结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 10, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's recent Truth Social posts attacking Pope Leo XIV—labeling him "weak" and claiming undue credit for his papacy amid disputes over U.S.-Israeli military actions against Iran—exemplify the frequent public insults that drive trader consensus in this market. Over the past 48 hours, Trump escalated with renewed criticism of the pope and Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni for siding with him, sparking backlash from Catholic leaders and allies. These developments, following earlier barbs at figures like French President Macron, underscore his pattern of combative rhetoric on social media and at events like White House lunches. Traders monitor upcoming press conferences and rallies for similar statements, with resolution hinging on verifiable public insults before the market deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$135,733结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 10, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
President Trump's recent Truth Social posts attacking Pope Leo XIV—labeling him "weak" and claiming undue credit for his papacy amid disputes over U.S.-Israeli military actions against Iran—exemplify the frequent public insults that drive trader consensus in this market. Over the past 48 hours, Trump escalated with renewed criticism of the pope and Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni for siding with him, sparking backlash from Catholic leaders and allies. These developments, following earlier barbs at figures like French President Macron, underscore his pattern of combative rhetoric on social media and at events like White House lunches. Traders monitor upcoming press conferences and rallies for similar statements, with resolution hinging on verifiable public insults before the market deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题