**Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a maximum of 31°C for July 8, with a range of 27–31°C under partly cloudy to showery conditions.** This aligns with the market’s leading 31°C outcome at 34.5% implied probability, ahead of 30°C at 29%. A broad trough of low pressure over the northern South China Sea continues to supply moisture, favoring scattered showers or thunderstorms that can limit peak heating by reducing solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. July climatology shows average daily highs near 31°C, with recent early-month readings around 32°C before increased cloud cover. Model consensus and ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty between 30–32°C depending on the exact timing and coverage of any rain, keeping adjacent outcomes competitive while traders monitor updated HKO guidance and regional model runs for refinements.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Hong Kong on July 8?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 8?
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$214,617 Vol.
$214,617 Vol.
Jul 8, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$214,617 Vol.
$214,617 Vol.
Jul 8, 2026
25°C or below
$6,729 Vol.
No
26°C
$4,772 Vol.
No
27°C
$12,498 Vol.
No
28°C
$12,639 Vol.
No
29°C
$25,396 Vol.
No
30°C
$25,849 Vol.
No
31°C
$45,039 Vol.
Yes
32°C
$33,076 Vol.
No
33°C
$26,901 Vol.
No
34°C
$15,577 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$6,140 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a maximum of 31°C for July 8, with a range of 27–31°C under partly cloudy to showery conditions.** This aligns with the market’s leading 31°C outcome at 34.5% implied probability, ahead of 30°C at 29%. A broad trough of low pressure over the northern South China Sea continues to supply moisture, favoring scattered showers or thunderstorms that can limit peak heating by reducing solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. July climatology shows average daily highs near 31°C, with recent early-month readings around 32°C before increased cloud cover. Model consensus and ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty between 30–32°C depending on the exact timing and coverage of any rain, keeping adjacent outcomes competitive while traders monitor updated HKO guidance and regional model runs for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ভলিউম
$214,617শেষ তারিখ
Jul 8, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a maximum of 31°C for July 8, with a range of 27–31°C under partly cloudy to showery conditions.** This aligns with the market’s leading 31°C outcome at 34.5% implied probability, ahead of 30°C at 29%. A broad trough of low pressure over the northern South China Sea continues to supply moisture, favoring scattered showers or thunderstorms that can limit peak heating by reducing solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. July climatology shows average daily highs near 31°C, with recent early-month readings around 32°C before increased cloud cover. Model consensus and ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty between 30–32°C depending on the exact timing and coverage of any rain, keeping adjacent outcomes competitive while traders monitor updated HKO guidance and regional model runs for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$214,617শেষ তারিখ
Jul 8, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
**Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a maximum of 31°C for July 8, with a range of 27–31°C under partly cloudy to showery conditions.** This aligns with the market’s leading 31°C outcome at 34.5% implied probability, ahead of 30°C at 29%. A broad trough of low pressure over the northern South China Sea continues to supply moisture, favoring scattered showers or thunderstorms that can limit peak heating by reducing solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. July climatology shows average daily highs near 31°C, with recent early-month readings around 32°C before increased cloud cover. Model consensus and ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty between 30–32°C depending on the exact timing and coverage of any rain, keeping adjacent outcomes competitive while traders monitor updated HKO guidance and regional model runs for refinements.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা