Trader consensus on the US trade deficit for June 2026 centers on the 70-80 billion dollar range with 80.5% implied probability, reflecting the May goods-and-services shortfall of 77.6 billion that widened sharply from April's 54.6 billion revised figure amid rising imports of consumer goods, pharmaceuticals, and crude oil alongside softer exports. Advance June goods data showed a narrower 101.5 billion goods gap versus May's 105.9 billion peak, with imports declining 2.6% and exports falling 1.8%, suggesting the full balance-of-payments reading—incorporating the typical 28-29 billion services surplus—will likely settle near recent levels once released August 4. Persistent tariff-related policy uncertainty and dollar strength continue to influence import volumes, while leading indicators point to stable net-export drag on second-quarter GDP without signaling a decisive shift outside the 70-80 billion band.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড70-80B 81%
60-70B 11%
50-60B 3.0%
80-90B 2.3%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 4, 2026
<50B
<1%
50-60B
3%
60-70B
11%
70-80B
81%
80-90B
2%
90-100B
1%
100B+
<1%
70-80B 81%
60-70B 11%
50-60B 3.0%
80-90B 2.3%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 4, 2026
<50B
$397 Vol.
<1%
50-60B
$403 Vol.
3%
60-70B
$584 Vol.
11%
70-80B
$7,315 Vol.
81%
80-90B
$356 Vol.
2%
90-100B
$356 Vol.
1%
100B+
$467 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services Deficit for June 2026, according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report scheduled for August 4, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report for the specified month is expected to be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/intl-trade-investment/international-trade-goods-and-services
Note: This market will resolve based on the Monthly Deficit figure. The Three-Month Moving Average figure will have no bearing on this market. Any revisions to the Trade Deficit figure for the specified month made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for the specified month will not be considered.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader consensus on the US trade deficit for June 2026 centers on the 70-80 billion dollar range with 80.5% implied probability, reflecting the May goods-and-services shortfall of 77.6 billion that widened sharply from April's 54.6 billion revised figure amid rising imports of consumer goods, pharmaceuticals, and crude oil alongside softer exports. Advance June goods data showed a narrower 101.5 billion goods gap versus May's 105.9 billion peak, with imports declining 2.6% and exports falling 1.8%, suggesting the full balance-of-payments reading—incorporating the typical 28-29 billion services surplus—will likely settle near recent levels once released August 4. Persistent tariff-related policy uncertainty and dollar strength continue to influence import volumes, while leading indicators point to stable net-export drag on second-quarter GDP without signaling a decisive shift outside the 70-80 billion band.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services Deficit for June 2026, according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report scheduled for August 4, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report for the specified month is expected to be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/intl-trade-investment/international-trade-goods-and-services
Note: This market will resolve based on the Monthly Deficit figure. The Three-Month Moving Average figure will have no bearing on this market. Any revisions to the Trade Deficit figure for the specified month made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for the specified month will not be considered.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report for the specified month is expected to be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/intl-trade-investment/international-trade-goods-and-services
Note: This market will resolve based on the Monthly Deficit figure. The Three-Month Moving Average figure will have no bearing on this market. Any revisions to the Trade Deficit figure for the specified month made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for the specified month will not be considered.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 29, 2026, 7:08 PM ET
ভলিউম
$9,877শেষ তারিখ
Aug 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 29, 2026, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services Deficit for June 2026, according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report scheduled for August 4, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report for the specified month is expected to be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/intl-trade-investment/international-trade-goods-and-services
Note: This market will resolve based on the Monthly Deficit figure. The Three-Month Moving Average figure will have no bearing on this market. Any revisions to the Trade Deficit figure for the specified month made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for the specified month will not be considered.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader consensus on the US trade deficit for June 2026 centers on the 70-80 billion dollar range with 80.5% implied probability, reflecting the May goods-and-services shortfall of 77.6 billion that widened sharply from April's 54.6 billion revised figure amid rising imports of consumer goods, pharmaceuticals, and crude oil alongside softer exports. Advance June goods data showed a narrower 101.5 billion goods gap versus May's 105.9 billion peak, with imports declining 2.6% and exports falling 1.8%, suggesting the full balance-of-payments reading—incorporating the typical 28-29 billion services surplus—will likely settle near recent levels once released August 4. Persistent tariff-related policy uncertainty and dollar strength continue to influence import volumes, while leading indicators point to stable net-export drag on second-quarter GDP without signaling a decisive shift outside the 70-80 billion band.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services Deficit for June 2026, according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report scheduled for August 4, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report for the specified month is expected to be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/intl-trade-investment/international-trade-goods-and-services
Note: This market will resolve based on the Monthly Deficit figure. The Three-Month Moving Average figure will have no bearing on this market. Any revisions to the Trade Deficit figure for the specified month made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for the specified month will not be considered.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report for the specified month is expected to be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/intl-trade-investment/international-trade-goods-and-services
Note: This market will resolve based on the Monthly Deficit figure. The Three-Month Moving Average figure will have no bearing on this market. Any revisions to the Trade Deficit figure for the specified month made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for the specified month will not be considered.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
ভলিউম
$9,877শেষ তারিখ
Aug 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 29, 2026, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the US trade deficit for June 2026 centers on the 70-80 billion dollar range with 80.5% implied probability, reflecting the May goods-and-services shortfall of 77.6 billion that widened sharply from April's 54.6 billion revised figure amid rising imports of consumer goods, pharmaceuticals, and crude oil alongside softer exports. Advance June goods data showed a narrower 101.5 billion goods gap versus May's 105.9 billion peak, with imports declining 2.6% and exports falling 1.8%, suggesting the full balance-of-payments reading—incorporating the typical 28-29 billion services surplus—will likely settle near recent levels once released August 4. Persistent tariff-related policy uncertainty and dollar strength continue to influence import volumes, while leading indicators point to stable net-export drag on second-quarter GDP without signaling a decisive shift outside the 70-80 billion band.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা