Natural Disasters

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 9 - March 15?

56%

Yes56%No44%

33%

Yes33%No67%

$107K Vol.

Weekly

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 2 - March 8?

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

$380K Vol.

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

Yes2%No98%

Yes4%No96%

$1M Vol.

Natural Disaster in 2026?

32%

chance

Yes

$175K Vol.

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

38%

chance

Yes

$264K Vol.

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

<950

10%

Yes10%No90%

950–999

Yes2%No98%

$12K Vol.

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

39%

Yes39%No61%

46%

Yes46%No54%

$360K Vol.

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

Yes4%No96%

5–7

Yes5%No95%

$968K Vol.

Daily

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

March 31

60%

Yes60%No40%

April 30

81%

Yes81%No19%

$15K Vol.

Daily

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

11%

chance

Yes

$34K Vol.

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

10%

chance

Yes

$144K Vol.

How many Tornadoes in the US in March?

<70

Yes8%No92%

70–99

24%

Yes24%No76%

$16K Vol.

Daily

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

chance

Yes

$514K Vol.

All

Daily Temperature

Pandemics

Weather

Space

Earthquakes

Hurricanes

Global Temp

Measles

Natural Disasters

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 9 - March 15?

56%

Yes56%No44%

33%

Yes33%No67%

$107K Vol.

Weekly

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 2 - March 8?

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

$380K Vol.

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

Yes2%No98%

Yes4%No96%

$1M Vol.

Natural Disaster in 2026?

32%

chance

Yes

$175K Vol.

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

38%

chance

Yes

$264K Vol.

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

<950

10%

Yes10%No90%

950–999

Yes2%No98%

$12K Vol.

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

39%

Yes39%No61%

46%

Yes46%No54%

$360K Vol.

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

Yes4%No96%

5–7

Yes5%No95%

$968K Vol.

Daily

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

March 31

60%

Yes60%No40%

April 30

81%

Yes81%No19%

$15K Vol.

Daily

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

11%

chance

Yes

$34K Vol.

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

10%

chance

Yes

$144K Vol.

How many Tornadoes in the US in March?

<70

Yes8%No92%

70–99

24%

Yes24%No76%

$16K Vol.

Daily

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

chance

Yes

$514K Vol.

Natural Disasters Odds & Predictions | Polymarket

Natural Disasters

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 9 - March 15?

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 2 - March 8?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

How many Tornadoes in the US in March?

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?