The strong Democratic lean of California's 32nd congressional district, reflected in its D+14 partisan voting index and consistent historical results, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5% odds. Incumbent Brad Sherman advanced from the July 2026 primary alongside Republican Larry Thompson, facing minimal opposition in a district long held by Democrats since the 1990s. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected national political realignment, significant candidate health developments, or late scandals, though the margin leaves limited room for such factors to overturn the outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertCA-32 Wahlsieger
CA-32 Wahlsieger
$24,931 Vol.
$24,931 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
95%
Republikanische Partei
3%
$24,931 Vol.
$24,931 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$11,496 Vol.
95%
Republikanische Partei
$13,435 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of California's 32nd congressional district, reflected in its D+14 partisan voting index and consistent historical results, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5% odds. Incumbent Brad Sherman advanced from the July 2026 primary alongside Republican Larry Thompson, facing minimal opposition in a district long held by Democrats since the 1990s. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected national political realignment, significant candidate health developments, or late scandals, though the margin leaves limited room for such factors to overturn the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volumen
$24,931Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of California's 32nd congressional district, reflected in its D+14 partisan voting index and consistent historical results, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5% odds. Incumbent Brad Sherman advanced from the July 2026 primary alongside Republican Larry Thompson, facing minimal opposition in a district long held by Democrats since the 1990s. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected national political realignment, significant candidate health developments, or late scandals, though the margin leaves limited room for such factors to overturn the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$24,931Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic lean of California's 32nd congressional district, reflected in its D+14 partisan voting index and consistent historical results, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5% odds. Incumbent Brad Sherman advanced from the July 2026 primary alongside Republican Larry Thompson, facing minimal opposition in a district long held by Democrats since the 1990s. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected national political realignment, significant candidate health developments, or late scandals, though the margin leaves limited room for such factors to overturn the outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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